Ivan Yelfimov vs Volodymyr Hainiuk 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 21Finished

Ivan Yelfimov

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

6–1Last 7Won last 5

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

114119311119––

Volodymyr Hainiuk

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Ivan Yelfimov to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingIvan Yelfimov above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below

Set 1 · 11-4

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 3-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 69 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Yelfimov at 54.0%

69 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:41

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Hainiuk

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Yelfimov 1630 vs Hainiuk 1391

Yelfimov

Correct

both rated, 239 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Yelfimov 100% vs Hainiuk 40%

Yelfimov

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Yelfimov 86% vs Hainiuk 30%

Yelfimov

Correct

56pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Yelfimov +5 · Hainiuk +1

Yelfimov

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yelfimov)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hainiuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsYelfimov 1.83 / Hainiuk 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Yelfimov)+4.0pp

Setka Cup · #13166495

Yelfimov1.83

86%won 6 of 7 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 5

oldest → newest

71%takes the first set · 5 of 7

Hainiuk1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricYelfimovHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 7 vs 364 / 67285.7%54.2%6 / 7 vs 364 / 672Avg sets wonper match2.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Yelfimov

Yelfimov 1.83/Hainiuk 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Yelfimov · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Yelfimov won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

I. Yelfimov7