TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Vitalii Kaganovych
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101012112811119
Vadym Slabyshev
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–6Last 7Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:02 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Vadym Slabyshev below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 57.7%
96 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kaganovych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1424 vs Slabyshev 1170
Kaganovych
Correct
both rated, 254 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 0% vs Slabyshev 20%
Slabyshev
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 50% vs Slabyshev 14%
Kaganovych
Correct
36pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych -5 · Slabyshev -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slabyshev form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 1.61 / Slabyshev 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kaganovych)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166569
Kaganovych1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 126 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it84% 88 of 105
Slabyshev2.20
14%won 1 of 7 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest14%takes the first set · 1 of 7
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychSlabyshevBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 550 vs 1 / 761.6%14.3%339 / 550 vs 1 / 7Avg sets wonper match2.21.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.732.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychKaganovych 1.61/Slabyshev 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kaganovych won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Kaganovych10
LSep 21 · 16:05A. Lifanov2.101111113V. Kaganovych1.679990LSep 21 · 14:05I. Yelfimov2.50711911113V. Kaganovych1.5011411892LSep 21 · 13:05V. Sharpai1.7313311113V. Kaganovych2.001111961LSep 15 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.61511981F. Chashchin2.2011811113LSep 15 · 17:05V. Kaganovych2.003880A. Yakovenko1.731111113WSep 15 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.5011911113V. Hainiuk2.50811891WSep 15 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.5711511113I. Elfemov2.25911871WSep 15 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.61911711113A. Lifanov2.2011911942WSep 14 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501071261V. Kaganovych1.50121110113WSep 14 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.367111011113V. Sydorenko3.0011712372
V. Slabyshev9
WSep 21 · 19:05A. Lifanov1.619870V. Slabyshev2.201111113LSep 21 · 16:35V. Sharpai1.731111113V. Slabyshev2.009930LSep 21 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.7391111113V. Slabyshev2.00112961LSep 21 · 12:35I. Yelfimov1.731112113V. Slabyshev2.0091070WSep 16 · 20:25D. Us1.731181110112V. Slabyshev2.00511512133LSep 16 · 18:54V. Slabyshev1.836111231A. Lifanov1.8311714113LSep 16 · 16:54P. Ishchyk1.6713912113V. Slabyshev2.1011111081LSep 16 · 14:54A. Peretiatko1.7311911113V. Slabyshev2.00911841LSep 16 · 13:54Y. Stepanchuk1.831182V. Slabyshev1.83960
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