TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Kaganovych vs Ivan Yelfimov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vitalii Kaganovych
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711811––––
Ivan Yelfimov
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Ivan Yelfimov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 60.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kaganovych 0–1 Ivan Yelfimov Vitalii Kaganovych has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:09What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kaganovych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1430 vs Yelfimov 1549
Yelfimov
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 40% vs Yelfimov 60%
Yelfimov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 40% vs Yelfimov 70%
Yelfimov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych +1 · Yelfimov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yelfimov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 1.53 / Yelfimov 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kaganovych)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13173426
Kaganovych1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 125 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it95% 62 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it83% 87 of 105
Yelfimov2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKaganovych0wins
AwayYelfimov1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderYelfimov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKaganovychYelfimovK − YBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.049.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychYelfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 553 vs 8 / 1161.7%72.7%341 / 553 vs 8 / 11Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychKaganovych 1.53/Yelfimov 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yelfimov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 21 · 14:05V. Kaganovych4311411892I. Yelfimov49711911113
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 22 · 13:25V. Kaganovych1.6711128113A. Lifanov2.106101191LSep 21 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501111611113V. Kaganovych1.5081311882WSep 21 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.611210118113V. Slabyshev2.20101221192LSep 21 · 16:05A. Lifanov2.101111113V. Kaganovych1.679990LSep 21 · 14:05I. Yelfimov2.50711911113V. Kaganovych1.5011411892LSep 21 · 13:05V. Sharpai1.7313311113V. Kaganovych2.001111961LSep 15 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.61511981F. Chashchin2.2011811113LSep 15 · 17:05V. Kaganovych2.003880A. Yakovenko1.731111113WSep 15 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.5011911113V. Hainiuk2.50811891WSep 15 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.5711511113I. Elfemov2.25911871
I. Yelfimov10
WSep 22 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.8056120I. Yelfimov1.911111143LSep 21 · 18:35I. Yelfimov1.911151161V. Sharpai1.8013116113LSep 21 · 17:05I. Yelfimov2.50611841A. Lifanov1.5011611113WSep 21 · 15:35I. Yelfimov1.8311113113V. Hainiuk1.83491191WSep 21 · 14:05I. Yelfimov2.50711911113V. Kaganovych1.5011411892WSep 21 · 12:35I. Yelfimov1.731112113V. Slabyshev2.0091070WSep 18 · 19:35V. Chumak1.914111011102I. Yelfimov1.80117127123WSep 18 · 18:05I. Yelfimov1.401111133A. Azarov2.7566110WSep 18 · 16:05D. Boltenkov1.91111090I. Yelfimov1.801312113LSep 18 · 14:05R. Serhyenko2.75111011133I. Yelfimov1.406128111
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.