TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ivan Yelfimov
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–2Last 9Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113511116611––
Viktor Sharpai
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Yelfimov above · Viktor Sharpai below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Viktor Sharpai at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:15What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sharpai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Yelfimov 1577 vs Sharpai 1417
Yelfimov
Wrong
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yelfimov 80% vs Sharpai 60%
Yelfimov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yelfimov 78% vs Sharpai 60%
Yelfimov
Wrong
18pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yelfimov -1 · Sharpai -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sharpai)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yelfimov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYelfimov 1.91 / Sharpai 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sharpai)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166386
Yelfimov1.91
78%won 7 of 9 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Sharpai1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 55 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it70% 42 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricYelfimovSharpaiBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 9 vs 248 / 53377.8%46.5%7 / 9 vs 248 / 533Avg sets wonper match2.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiYelfimov 1.91/Sharpai 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sharpai won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Yelfimov9
LSep 21 · 17:05I. Yelfimov2.50611841A. Lifanov1.5011611113WSep 21 · 15:35I. Yelfimov1.8311113113V. Hainiuk1.83491191WSep 21 · 14:05I. Yelfimov2.50711911113V. Kaganovych1.5011411892WSep 21 · 12:35I. Yelfimov1.731112113V. Slabyshev2.0091070WSep 18 · 19:35V. Chumak1.914111011102I. Yelfimov1.80117127123WSep 18 · 18:05I. Yelfimov1.401111133A. Azarov2.7566110WSep 18 · 16:05D. Boltenkov1.91111090I. Yelfimov1.801312113LSep 18 · 14:05R. Serhyenko2.75111011133I. Yelfimov1.406128111WSep 18 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.38411561I. Yelfimov1.5311711113
V. Sharpai10
LSep 21 · 17:35V. Sharpai1.57611231V. Hainiuk2.2511311113WSep 21 · 16:35V. Sharpai1.731111113V. Slabyshev2.009930LSep 21 · 15:05V. Sharpai1.8395111232A. Lifanov1.831111810113WSep 21 · 13:05V. Sharpai1.7313311113V. Kaganovych2.001111961WSep 17 · 19:55A. Lifanov1.83791114112V. Sharpai1.831111312133LSep 17 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2011115113V. Sharpai1.61641161WSep 17 · 17:25O. Korobov1.5011711672V. Sharpai2.50511911113WSep 17 · 15:25V. Hainiuk2.00119130V. Sharpai1.731311153LSep 17 · 13:25M. Skliar2.10111110133V. Sharpai1.676712111WSep 14 · 19:05V. Sharpai1.281111133V. Sydorenko3.5087110
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