TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142088
Played Sep 17Finished
Ivan Elfemov
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116114511116––
Viktor Sharpai
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Elfemov above · Viktor Sharpai below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 65 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Viktor Sharpai at 54.1%
65 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Elfemov 5–5 Viktor Sharpai Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sharpai
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Elfemov 1342 vs Sharpai 1431
Sharpai
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Elfemov 0% vs Sharpai 80%
Sharpai
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Elfemov 10% vs Sharpai 60%
Sharpai
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Elfemov -5 · Sharpai +2
Elfemov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sharpai) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sharpai form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsElfemov 2.20 / Sharpai 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sharpai)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13142088
Elfemov2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 40 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back26% 17 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Sharpai1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 54 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it70% 41 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeElfemov5wins
AwaySharpai5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeElfemovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySharpai44.4%4 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Elfemov1Sharpai9n = 10Sharpai took 9 of 10
S2Elfemov5Sharpai5n = 10split evenly
S3Elfemov3Sharpai7n = 10Sharpai took 7 of 10
S4Elfemov5Sharpai2n = 7Elfemov took 5 of 7
S5Elfemov3Sharpai0n = 3Elfemov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricElfemovSharpaiE − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.940.4−2.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricElfemovSharpaiBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 481 vs 249 / 53459.3%46.6%285 / 481 vs 249 / 534Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiElfemov 2.20/Sharpai 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Elfemov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 15:05I. Elfemov516111013113V. Sharpai52119121192
WSep 10 · 19:25I. Elfemov47613611113V. Sharpai50111111892
LSep 1 · 18:55I. Elfemov2512670V. Sharpai361411113
WJul 29 · 15:35I. Elfemov4391211113V. Sharpai381110891
WJul 22 · 16:35I. Elfemov4291111113V. Sharpai34119951
LJul 21 · 18:05I. Elfemov259880V. Sharpai331111113
LJul 15 · 16:05I. Elfemov247980V. Sharpai331111113
LJul 13 · 14:25I. Elfemov361161091V. Sharpai4061112113
LJul 8 · 19:05I. Elfemov391181191V. Sharpai4213117113
WJul 7 · 18:25I. Elfemov47811611113V. Sharpai4611811972
I. Elfemov10
LSep 17 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401161211143I. Elfemov2.75411145122LSep 17 · 14:55M. Skliar1.50511611113I. Elfemov2.5011411262LSep 17 · 13:55O. Korobov1.331111113I. Elfemov3.257980LSep 15 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.671113113I. Elfemov2.1081160LSep 15 · 18:05I. Elfemov2.505930A. Lifanov1.501111113LSep 15 · 16:05A. Yakovenko1.3381111123I. Elfemov3.251148101LSep 15 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.5711511113I. Elfemov2.25911871WSep 15 · 13:05F. Chashchin1.6110760I. Elfemov2.201211113LSep 14 · 18:35O. Korobov1.3091114113I. Elfemov3.401131241LSep 14 · 17:35I. Elfemov2.00611791V. Hainiuk1.7311711113
V. Sharpai10
WSep 17 · 19:55A. Lifanov1.83791114112V. Sharpai1.831111312133WSep 17 · 17:25O. Korobov1.5011711672V. Sharpai2.50511911113WSep 17 · 15:25V. Hainiuk2.00119130V. Sharpai1.731311153LSep 17 · 13:25M. Skliar2.10111110133V. Sharpai1.676712111WSep 14 · 19:05V. Sharpai1.281111133V. Sydorenko3.5087110WSep 14 · 17:05O. Korobov1.44127881V. Sharpai2.63101111113WSep 14 · 16:05V. Sharpai2.001112113V. Kaganovych1.7371060LSep 14 · 15:05I. Elfemov2.106111013113V. Sharpai1.67119121192LSep 14 · 13:35V. Sharpai1.5371140V. Hainiuk2.381113113LSep 10 · 19:25I. Elfemov2.50613611113V. Sharpai1.50111111892
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.