TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anton Yakovenko vs Volodymyr Hainiuk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Anton Yakovenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118511119116––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeAnton Yakovenko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Yakovenko above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Anton Yakovenko at 56.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Anton Yakovenko 30–27 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 27 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Yakovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-27 in 57
Yakovenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yakovenko 1423 vs Hainiuk 1412
Yakovenko
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yakovenko 40% vs Hainiuk 60%
Hainiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yakovenko 40% vs Hainiuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yakovenko -1 · Hainiuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yakovenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakovenko 1.67 / Hainiuk 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Yakovenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13173093
Yakovenko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 15) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 25 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Hainiuk2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 46 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYakovenko6wins
AwayHainiuk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderYakovenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYakovenko71.4%5 of 7
AwayHainiuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yakovenko7Hainiuk3n = 10Yakovenko took 7 of 10
S2Yakovenko3Hainiuk7n = 10Hainiuk took 7 of 10
S3Yakovenko4Hainiuk6n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S4Yakovenko6Hainiuk1n = 7Yakovenko took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricYakovenkoHainiukY − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.133.8+3.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakovenkoHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 473 vs 366 / 67550.3%54.2%238 / 473 vs 366 / 675Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YakovenkoYakovenko 1.67/Hainiuk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Yakovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Yakovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 13:35A. Yakovenko361141291V. Hainiuk4481114113
WJun 30 · 14:35A. Yakovenko4717118113V. Hainiuk431591181
LJun 25 · 16:25A. Yakovenko158340V. Hainiuk331111113
WJun 23 · 13:35A. Yakovenko4111811113V. Hainiuk26211851
WJun 11 · 18:25A. Yakovenko44116511113V. Hainiuk4181111472
WSep 23 · 13:35A. Yakovenko44111111113V. Hainiuk32133791
WSep 9 · 13:35A. Yakovenko331111113V. Hainiuk123270
LSep 8 · 18:25A. Yakovenko45114111182V. Hainiuk46311138113
WSep 4 · 16:05A. Yakovenko3911611113V. Hainiuk26511461
LSep 2 · 16:05A. Yakovenko2711970V. Hainiuk351311113
A. Yakovenko10
LSep 15 · 19:05A. Yakovenko1.808490A. Lifanov1.911111113WSep 15 · 17:05V. Kaganovych2.003880A. Yakovenko1.731111113WSep 15 · 16:05A. Yakovenko1.3381111123I. Elfemov3.251148101LSep 15 · 15:05F. Chashchin3.4081111113A. Yakovenko1.30119481LSep 15 · 13:35A. Yakovenko1.571141291V. Hainiuk2.2581114113LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko3.401412241H. Kulishov1.30121411113LSep 1 · 01:35A. Yakovenko2.38591171M. Fomin1.5311117113WSep 1 · 24:05A. Yakovenko1.5711811123M. Skliar2.257119101WAug 31 · 22:35A. Yakovenko2.0041111113A. Peretiatko1.73118691LAug 31 · 21:05A. Yakovenko2.10119101362D. Kim1.677111211113
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 22 · 15:25V. Hainiuk2.75611491A. Lifanov1.4011811113WSep 21 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501111611113V. Kaganovych1.5081311882WSep 21 · 17:35V. Sharpai1.57611231V. Hainiuk2.2511311113LSep 21 · 15:35I. Yelfimov1.8311113113V. Hainiuk1.83491191WSep 21 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.7391111113V. Slabyshev2.00112961LSep 21 · 13:35A. Lifanov1.4411117113V. Hainiuk2.63771161LSep 17 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.579560I. Elfemov2.251111113WSep 17 · 18:25O. Korobov1.40781141V. Hainiuk2.7511117113LSep 17 · 16:25M. Skliar1.53117811113V. Hainiuk2.3871111962WSep 15 · 13:35A. Yakovenko1.571141291V. Hainiuk2.2581114113
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