TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yaroslav Tebenko vs Oleksandr Storozhenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Yaroslav Tebenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711411––––
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Tebenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYaroslav Tebenko above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Yaroslav Tebenko at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Tebenko 28–34 Oleksandr Storozhenko Yaroslav Tebenko has won 28 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:16What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Storozhenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-34 in 62
Storozhenko
Correct
gap of 6 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tebenko 1620 vs Storozhenko 1528
Tebenko
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tebenko 80% vs Storozhenko 0%
Tebenko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tebenko 50% vs Storozhenko 30%
Tebenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tebenko -1 · Storozhenko -5
Storozhenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tebenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Storozhenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTebenko 1.83 / Storozhenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tebenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13173565
Tebenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Storozhenko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTebenko6wins
AwayStorozhenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTebenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTebenko71.4%5 of 7
AwayStorozhenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tebenko7Storozhenko3n = 10Tebenko took 7 of 10
S2Tebenko6Storozhenko4n = 10Tebenko took 6 of 10
S3Tebenko5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Tebenko4Storozhenko3n = 7Tebenko took 4 of 7
S5Tebenko1Storozhenko2n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTebenkoStorozhenkoT − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.8+0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTebenkoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 851 vs 269 / 51948.5%51.8%413 / 851 vs 269 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TebenkoTebenko 1.83/Storozhenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tebenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 14:05Y. Tebenko35118971O. Storozhenko4181111113
WSep 16 · 11:05Y. Tebenko4211119113O. Storozhenko34891161
LSep 15 · 15:35Y. Tebenko591212121492O. Storozhenko6110101416113
WSep 11 · 20:45Y. Tebenko4011513113O. Storozhenko377111181
WSep 9 · 08:05Y. Tebenko331111113O. Storozhenko258980
WSep 8 · 15:35Y. Tebenko4181111113O. Storozhenko36117991
WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko45116611113O. Storozhenko4241111972
LSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko4031212672O. Storozhenko5311101011113
WSep 3 · 23:15Y. Tebenko331111113O. Storozhenko259790
LAug 31 · 05:35Y. Tebenko2410860O. Storozhenko341211113
Y. Tebenko10
WSep 23 · 01:15Y. Tebenko1.801111113D. Maltsev1.916750LSep 22 · 22:45Y. Tebenko1.501191081I. Fashchevskyi2.5091112113WSep 22 · 20:45Y. Tebenko1.67111189123I. Pytsko2.10781111102WSep 20 · 19:05Y. Tebenko2.1041113113D. Shchegelskyi1.671151181WSep 20 · 17:05V. Kovalchuk1.6711911832Y. Tebenko2.10711811113WSep 20 · 15:05R. Novak1.8371171162Y. Tebenko1.83117119113LSep 20 · 14:05Y. Tebenko1.91118971O. Storozhenko1.8081111113LSep 20 · 13:05Y. Parahailo1.9111411123Y. Tebenko1.809119101LSep 20 · 02:00Y. Tebenko2.635780M. Khomenko1.441111113LSep 20 · 24:30Y. Tebenko2.006712101V. Kovalchuk1.73111110123
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 22 · 22:15D. Maltsev1.91131145113O. Storozhenko1.80114111182LSep 22 · 20:15M. Potapov2.5081111113O. Storozhenko1.50114871LSep 21 · 18:55O. Storozhenko1.8312106141Y. Parahailo1.83101211163LSep 21 · 16:55D. Maltsev1.91111195113O. Storozhenko1.8096111192LSep 21 · 14:55I. Fashchevskyi2.20981412113O. Storozhenko1.611111121062WSep 21 · 13:55O. Storozhenko1.5011126113M. Potapov2.505101191LSep 21 · 12:55I. Pytsko2.10111157113O. Storozhenko1.6786111192WSep 20 · 18:35Y. Parahailo1.73135861O. Storozhenko2.00111111113LSep 20 · 17:35D. Shchegelskyi1.8371111143O. Storozhenko1.831195121WSep 20 · 14:05Y. Tebenko1.91118971O. Storozhenko1.8081111113
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