TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121010126111416––
Yurii Parahailo
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Parahailo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Yurii Parahailo below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 14-16
Point 91 set 4, 14-16 — our read held Yurii Parahailo at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 10–11 Yurii Parahailo Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Parahailo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Storozhenko 1559 vs Parahailo 1555
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Storozhenko 40% vs Parahailo 0%
Storozhenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Storozhenko 40% vs Parahailo 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Storozhenko -2 · Parahailo -5
Parahailo
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Storozhenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parahailo form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStorozhenko 1.83 / Parahailo 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Storozhenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166294
Storozhenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Parahailo1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStorozhenko6wins
AwayParahailo4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStorozhenko100%3 of 3
AwayParahailo57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Storozhenko3Parahailo7n = 10Parahailo took 7 of 10
S2Storozhenko8Parahailo2n = 10Storozhenko took 8 of 10
S3Storozhenko5Parahailo5n = 10split evenly
S4Storozhenko4Parahailo4n = 8split evenly
S5Storozhenko2Parahailo1n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStorozhenkoParahailoS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.837.5−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStorozhenkoParahailoBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 516 vs 402 / 80052.1%50.3%269 / 516 vs 402 / 800Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoStorozhenko 1.83/Parahailo 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Parahailo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 18:35O. Storozhenko44111111113Y. Parahailo32135861
LAug 31 · 07:35O. Storozhenko177550Y. Parahailo331111113
LAug 29 · 21:00O. Storozhenko30811561Y. Parahailo3811511113
LAug 26 · 05:05O. Storozhenko30811381Y. Parahailo4111811113
WAug 24 · 07:35O. Storozhenko46311129113Y. Parahailo45118101152
LAug 22 · 20:00O. Storozhenko4051111762Y. Parahailo45117511113
WAug 18 · 17:35O. Storozhenko4312146113Y. Parahailo4010121171
WAug 17 · 22:00O. Storozhenko474101111113Y. Parahailo4411125792
WAug 14 · 22:00O. Storozhenko3815111113Y. Parahailo371381151
WAug 12 · 05:05O. Storozhenko331111113Y. Parahailo209650
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 21 · 16:55D. Maltsev1.91111195113O. Storozhenko1.8096111192LSep 21 · 14:55I. Fashchevskyi2.20981412113O. Storozhenko1.611111121062WSep 21 · 13:55O. Storozhenko1.5011126113M. Potapov2.505101191LSep 21 · 12:55I. Pytsko2.10111157113O. Storozhenko1.6786111192WSep 20 · 18:35Y. Parahailo1.73135861O. Storozhenko2.00111111113LSep 20 · 17:35D. Shchegelskyi1.8371111143O. Storozhenko1.831195121WSep 20 · 16:05V. Kovalchuk1.8061211342O. Storozhenko1.911110511113WSep 20 · 14:05Y. Tebenko1.91118971O. Storozhenko1.8081111113LSep 20 · 12:05R. Novak1.7311811143O. Storozhenko2.006113121LSep 19 · 03:00D. Maltsev2.2011117123O. Storozhenko1.615911101
Y. Parahailo10
LSep 21 · 17:25Y. Parahailo1.6151211842M. Potapov2.201110811113LSep 21 · 15:25I. Pytsko2.25129711113Y. Parahailo1.57101111382LSep 21 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi2.6361111163Y. Parahailo1.441187141LSep 21 · 12:25D. Maltsev1.83129911113Y. Parahailo1.83101111982LSep 20 · 18:35Y. Parahailo1.73135861O. Storozhenko2.00111111113WSep 20 · 16:35R. Novak1.8389121192Y. Parahailo1.831111107113WSep 20 · 15:35Y. Parahailo1.801011911103D. Shchegelskyi1.9112511762WSep 20 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk2.63611171142Y. Parahailo1.44117199113WSep 20 · 13:05Y. Parahailo1.9111411123Y. Tebenko1.809119101WSep 20 · 03:00R. Novak1.83881291Y. Parahailo1.83111110113
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