TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Framberk vs Pavel Berdych 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Jan Framberk
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1198111210911811
Pavel Berdych
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Framberk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Framberk above · Pavel Berdych below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 100 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jan Framberk at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Jan Framberk 1–2 Pavel Berdych Jan Framberk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Framberk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Framberk 1325 vs Berdych 1291
Framberk
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Framberk 20% vs Berdych 40%
Berdych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Framberk 50% vs Berdych 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Framberk -3 · Berdych -1
Framberk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Framberk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Berdych form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFramberk 1.80 / Berdych 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Framberk)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13170023
Framberk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 47 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Berdych1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 21 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back22% 9 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFramberk1wins
AwayBerdych2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBerdych leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Framberk1Berdych2n = 3Berdych took 2 of 3
S2Framberk1Berdych2n = 3Berdych took 2 of 3
S3Framberk1Berdych2n = 3Berdych took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricFramberkBerdychF − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.343.7−5.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFramberkBerdychBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 157 vs 213 / 44052.9%48.4%83 / 157 vs 213 / 440Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FramberkFramberk 1.80/Berdych 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Framberk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Berdych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 22 · 15:30J. Framberk4811812982P. Berdych529111011113
LAug 27 · 20:58J. Framberk167450P. Berdych331111113
WAug 27 · 18:30J. Framberk51615811113P. Berdych46111311832
J. Framberk10
WSep 22 · 16:30V. Sr2.206840J. Framberk1.611111113LSep 22 · 14:30Z. Drabek1.831111123J. Framberk1.8338100LSep 17 · 02:58M. Novak1.577111111114J. Framberk2.251149471LSep 17 · 02:00J. Framberk2.255840M. Stefek1.571111113WSep 17 · 01:00J. Framberk1.91811911113R. Hasmanda1.8011411592LSep 17 · 24:00M. Novak1.6191111113J. Framberk2.20116281WSep 16 · 22:30T. Regner1.91138941J. Framberk1.80111111113LSep 14 · 21:30J. Framberk1.3015760M. Barta3.401711113WSep 14 · 20:30M. Novotny2.20981141J. Framberk1.6111117113WSep 14 · 19:30J. Framberk1.61511119113P. Bruzek2.2011891152
P. Berdych10
LSep 22 · 16:00P. Berdych2.1081111592Z. Drabek1.67115711113LSep 22 · 14:00P. Berdych1.73781331V. Sr2.00111111113WSep 20 · 02:59P. Berdych1.611111123L. Havrda2.2065100LSep 20 · 02:30P. Berdych2.00111367112M. Novotny1.738111111133WSep 20 · 01:30J. Pelikan1.28611691P. Berdych3.5011411113LSep 20 · 24:00P. Berdych1.50613111172L. Havrda2.50111579113WSep 19 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.635660P. Berdych1.441111113WSep 19 · 13:12V. Sr1.801181081P. Berdych1.9151112113LSep 19 · 12:00M. Stefek1.33121011113P. Berdych3.251012861LSep 19 · 11:00V. Sr2.00511711113P. Berdych1.7311711482
Upcoming Matches
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