TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Pavel Berdych vs Vaclav Hruska Sr 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Pavel Berdych
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7118111311311––
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:25 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timePavel Berdych to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Berdych above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 75 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Pavel Berdych at 56.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Berdych 17–17 Vaclav Hruska Sr Dead even across their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:25What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Berdych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-17 in 34
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Berdych 1287 vs Sr 1366
Sr
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Berdych 60% vs Sr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Berdych 40% vs Sr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Berdych +1 · Sr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sr) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBerdych 1.73 / Sr 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sr)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168955
Berdych1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 59 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it82% 44 of 54
Sr2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 71 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back24% 26 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBerdych7wins
AwaySr3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBerdych leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBerdych62.5%5 of 8
AwaySrn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Berdych8Sr2n = 10Berdych took 8 of 10
S2Berdych8Sr2n = 10Berdych took 8 of 10
S3Berdych5Sr5n = 10split evenly
S4Berdych3Sr4n = 7Sr took 4 of 7
S5Berdych2Sr2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerdychSrB − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.734.7+5.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerdychSrBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 438 vs 457 / 97748.4%46.8%212 / 438 vs 457 / 977Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrBerdych 1.73/Sr 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 13:12P. Berdych3951112113V. Sr371181081
LSep 19 · 11:00P. Berdych4111711482V. Sr45511711113
LSep 14 · 14:30P. Berdych30155641V. Sr46131111113
WSep 12 · 20:30P. Berdych351111133V. Sr2274110
WAug 9 · 14:30P. Berdych44111111113V. Sr30641371
WJul 21 · 16:00P. Berdych331111113V. Sr227870
WJul 19 · 17:30P. Berdych331111113V. Sr235990
WJul 19 · 16:00P. Berdych50111189113V. Sr3654111152
WJul 18 · 16:00P. Berdych471011312113V. Sr40124111032
LJun 15 · 20:30P. Berdych4511117792V. Sr46671111113
P. Berdych10
WSep 20 · 02:59P. Berdych1.611111123L. Havrda2.2065100LSep 20 · 02:30P. Berdych2.00111367112M. Novotny1.738111111133WSep 20 · 01:30J. Pelikan1.28611691P. Berdych3.5011411113LSep 20 · 24:00P. Berdych1.50613111172L. Havrda2.50111579113WSep 19 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.635660P. Berdych1.441111113WSep 19 · 13:12V. Sr1.801181081P. Berdych1.9151112113LSep 19 · 12:00M. Stefek1.33121011113P. Berdych3.251012861LSep 19 · 11:00V. Sr2.00511711113P. Berdych1.7311711482LSep 19 · 10:30P. Berdych2.1041161162J. Strnad1.67118119113LSep 14 · 17:00P. Kulhanek1.5061111123P. Berdych2.501159101
V. Sr10
WSep 22 · 15:00V. Sr2.101111113Z. Drabek1.678570LSep 22 · 13:30V. Sr2.457141131M. Stefek1.4811169113WSep 22 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.4451360V. Sr2.631115113WSep 22 · 11:30V. Sr3.25411113113M. Stefek1.3311741162WSep 22 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.7361111922V. Sr2.00117211113LSep 19 · 13:12V. Sr1.801181081P. Berdych1.9151112113LSep 19 · 12:30V. Sr2.208101411112J. Strnad1.611112129133WSep 19 · 11:00V. Sr2.00511711113P. Berdych1.7311711482LSep 19 · 10:00M. Stefek1.3681111113V. Sr3.00119551LSep 17 · 09:30V. Sr2.0061111772J. Strnad1.73114911113
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