TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Pavel Berdych vs Zbynek Drabek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Pavel Berdych
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811115117511911
Zbynek Drabek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:50 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeZbynek Drabek to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Berdych above · Zbynek Drabek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Zbynek Drabek at 58.6%
89 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:50What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Drabek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Berdych 1278 vs Drabek 1318
Drabek
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Berdych 60% vs Drabek 20%
Berdych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Berdych 50% vs Drabek 30%
Berdych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Berdych +1 · Drabek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Drabek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drabek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBerdych 2.10 / Drabek 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Drabek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169961
Berdych2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 21 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back22% 9 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Drabek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 26 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerdychDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 439 vs 53 / 10648.3%50%212 / 439 vs 53 / 106Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrabekBerdych 2.10/Drabek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Drabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Drabek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Berdych10
LSep 22 · 17:00P. Berdych1.83671111112J. Framberk1.83111188133WSep 22 · 15:30J. Framberk1.8011812982P. Berdych1.919111011113LSep 22 · 14:00P. Berdych1.73781331V. Sr2.00111111113WSep 20 · 02:59P. Berdych1.611111123L. Havrda2.2065100LSep 20 · 02:30P. Berdych2.00111367112M. Novotny1.738111111133WSep 20 · 01:30J. Pelikan1.28611691P. Berdych3.5011411113LSep 20 · 24:00P. Berdych1.50613111172L. Havrda2.50111579113WSep 19 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.635660P. Berdych1.441111113WSep 19 · 13:12V. Sr1.801181081P. Berdych1.9151112113LSep 19 · 12:00M. Stefek1.33121011113P. Berdych3.251012861
Z. Drabek10
WSep 22 · 14:30Z. Drabek1.831111123J. Framberk1.8338100LSep 22 · 13:00R. Hasmanda1.501111123Z. Drabek2.5025100LSep 22 · 12:00M. Stefek1.611111113Z. Drabek2.206770LSep 22 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.571111123Z. Drabek2.2537100LSep 22 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.7361111922V. Sr2.00117211113WSep 18 · 13:00Z. Drabek1.787111011113Z. Zikmunda1.9111912942LSep 18 · 12:30P. Kulhanek1.83941111113Z. Drabek1.8311117572WSep 18 · 11:30Z. Drabek1.501111113Z. Zikmunda2.508990LSep 18 · 10:30M. Stefek1.671211123Z. Drabek2.10103100LSep 18 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.67108100T. Nohejl2.101211123
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