TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Stefek vs Zbynek Drabek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117117––––
Zbynek Drabek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Stefek to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Zbynek Drabek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Martin Stefek at 55.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 4–3 Zbynek Drabek Zbynek Drabek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:14What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Stefek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1349 vs Drabek 1354
Drabek
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 40% vs Drabek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 30% vs Drabek 50%
Drabek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -1 · Drabek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Stefek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.61 / Drabek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Stefek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169794
Stefek1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 115 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it94% 64 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it77% 84 of 109
Drabek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 17 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeStefek4wins
AwayDrabek3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderStefek leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek60%3 of 5
AwayDrabekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek5Drabek2n = 7Stefek took 5 of 7
S2Stefek5Drabek2n = 7Stefek took 5 of 7
S3Stefek5Drabek2n = 7Stefek took 5 of 7
S4Stefek0Drabek3n = 3Drabek took 3 of 3
S5Stefek1Drabek2n = 3Drabek took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricStefekDrabekS − DBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match36.635.7+0.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime597 / 1246 vs 52 / 10247.9%51%597 / 1246 vs 52 / 102Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekStefek 1.61/Drabek 2.20
Hit
What we said
58.1%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 18 · 10:30M. Stefek351211123Z. Drabek23103100
LSep 18 · 07:30M. Stefek2596100Z. Drabek341111123
LJun 17 · 12:30M. Stefek41131121052Z. Drabek541191112113
WJun 17 · 09:00M. Stefek46613115113Z. Drabek49111181182
WJun 17 · 08:30M. Stefek331111113Z. Drabek214890
WMay 4 · 11:30M. Stefek331111113Z. Drabek208840
LApr 25 · 10:30M. Stefek43114121062Z. Drabek495111012113
M. Stefek10
LSep 22 · 11:30V. Sr3.25411113113M. Stefek1.3311741162WSep 22 · 10:00M. Stefek1.7381113123R. Hasmanda2.0011711101WSep 21 · 21:00V. Nohejl1.4051191182M. Stefek2.75114110113LSep 21 · 20:30J. Moravek1.5711911113M. Stefek2.25411471LSep 21 · 19:30M. Stefek2.5010980V. Nohejl1.501211113LSep 21 · 18:30R. Bartunek1.5061111113M. Stefek2.50117881LSep 21 · 02:58T. Regner1.831311113M. Stefek1.8311680LSep 21 · 02:30M. Stefek1.83111221142T. Regner1.83514117113WSep 21 · 01:30L. Sulava1.911111711122M. Stefek1.80137116143LSep 21 · 24:00M. Stefek1.671014115102R. Hasmanda2.101212811123
Z. Drabek10
LSep 22 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.571111123Z. Drabek2.2537100LSep 22 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.7361111922V. Sr2.00117211113WSep 18 · 13:00Z. Drabek1.787111011113Z. Zikmunda1.9111912942LSep 18 · 12:30P. Kulhanek1.83941111113Z. Drabek1.8311117572WSep 18 · 11:30Z. Drabek1.501111113Z. Zikmunda2.508990LSep 18 · 10:30M. Stefek1.671211123Z. Drabek2.10103100LSep 18 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.67108100T. Nohejl2.101211123WSep 18 · 08:30T. Nohejl1.80611861Z. Drabek1.9111911113WSep 18 · 07:30Z. Drabek2.101111123M. Stefek1.6796100WSep 18 · 06:30Z. Zikmunda1.835880Z. Drabek1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Stefek
Z. Drabek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.