TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147109
Played Sep 18Finished
Zbynek Drabek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119119––––
Zdenek Zikmunda
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeZbynek Drabek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Drabek above · Zdenek Zikmunda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Zbynek Drabek at 54.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Drabek 7–2 Zdenek Zikmunda Zdenek Zikmunda has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Drabek beat Zikmunda 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Drabek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Drabek
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Drabek 1340 vs Zikmunda 1340
Drabek
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drabek 60% vs Zikmunda 20%
Drabek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drabek 70% vs Zikmunda 50%
Drabek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Drabek -2 · Zikmunda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Drabek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zikmunda form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrabek 1.50 / Zikmunda 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Drabek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147109
Drabek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 24 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Zikmunda2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 6 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeDrabek7wins
AwayZikmunda2wins
5 of 9 to a deciderDrabek leads 7–2, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDrabek100%3 of 3
AwayZikmunda33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Drabek3Zikmunda6n = 9Zikmunda took 6 of 9
S2Drabek7Zikmunda2n = 9Drabek took 7 of 9
S3Drabek5Zikmunda4n = 9Drabek took 5 of 9
S4Drabek4Zikmunda3n = 7Drabek took 4 of 7
S5Drabek4Zikmunda1n = 5Drabek took 4 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricDrabekZikmundaD − ZBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match41.338.2+3.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrabekZikmundaBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 97 vs 15 / 3751.6%40.5%50 / 97 vs 15 / 37Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrabekDrabek 1.50/Zikmunda 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Drabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Drabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 18 · 06:30Z. Drabek331111113Z. Zikmunda215880
WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Drabek50811119113Z. Zikmunda4611971182
LSep 5 · 12:00Z. Drabek154650Z. Zikmunda331111113
WSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek485111011113Z. Zikmunda4511612792
WSep 5 · 07:30Z. Drabek521171112113Z. Zikmunda4991171482
LSep 2 · 12:59Z. Drabek4691181172Z. Zikmunda47115119113
WSep 2 · 12:30Z. Drabek3961111113Z. Zikmunda31119651
WSep 2 · 08:59Z. Drabek3961111113Z. Zikmunda32115881
WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Drabek50111198113Z. Zikmunda4094111152
Z. Drabek10
LSep 18 · 12:30P. Kulhanek1.83941111113Z. Drabek1.8311117572LSep 18 · 10:30M. Stefek1.671211123Z. Drabek2.10103100LSep 18 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.67108100T. Nohejl2.101211123WSep 18 · 08:30T. Nohejl1.80611861Z. Drabek1.9111911113WSep 18 · 07:30Z. Drabek2.101111123M. Stefek1.6796100WSep 18 · 06:30Z. Zikmunda1.835880Z. Drabek1.831111113WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113LSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471
Z. Zikmunda10
LSep 18 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda1.8378100M. Stefek1.831111123WSep 18 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda1.441141111133P. Kulhanek2.63611313112LSep 18 · 08:59M. Stefek1.6751113113Z. Zikmunda2.101141191LSep 18 · 08:00M. Stefek2.101113113Z. Zikmunda1.6721180LSep 18 · 07:00T. Nohejl1.6751112113Z. Zikmunda2.101181051LSep 18 · 06:30Z. Zikmunda1.835880Z. Drabek1.831111113WSep 11 · 13:30Z. Zikmunda1.40471111113M. Chalupnicek2.7511118792LSep 11 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda1.401112781P. Kulhanek2.7541411113LSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113WSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650
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