Kamil Kostyk vs Jacek Mitas 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Sep 21Finished

Kamil Kostyk

Home

2.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

511311711––––

Jacek Mitas

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%

Graded at full time

Kamil Kostyk to win

61.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingKamil Kostyk above · Jacek Mitas below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 3-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Point 48 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Kamil Kostyk at 61.7%

48 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:37

What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Mitas

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kostyk 1448 vs Mitas 1580

Mitas

Correct

both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kostyk 60% vs Mitas 40%

Kostyk

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kostyk 50% vs Mitas 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Kostyk +1 · Mitas +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Mitas) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mitas form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKostyk 2.20 / Mitas 1.61

Signal prob.40% / 61%

Edge (Mitas)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13168719

Kostyk2.20

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog34% won 48 of 142

Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 84

Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46

Mitas1.61

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite60% won 53 of 88

Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27

Up 1–0, closes it83% 39 of 47

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKostykMitasBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 468 vs 111 / 24549.8%45.3%233 / 468 vs 111 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Mitas

Kostyk 2.20/Mitas 1.61

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.5%

Mitas · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Mitas won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

K. Kostyk10