TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jacek Mitas
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118115––––
Michal Minda
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:15 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeJacek Mitas to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJacek Mitas above · Michal Minda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jacek Mitas at 62.2%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Mitas 3–1 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mitas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Mitas
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mitas 1571 vs Minda 1458
Mitas
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitas 20% vs Minda 40%
Minda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitas 40% vs Minda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitas +1 · Minda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Mitas) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitas form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitas 1.50 / Minda 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Mitas)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13168355
Mitas1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 53 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it83% 39 of 47
Minda2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 133 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back25% 51 of 202
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMitas3wins
AwayMinda1wins
Mitas leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMitas100%3 of 3
AwayMindan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mitas3Minda1n = 4Mitas took 3 of 4
S2Mitas2Minda2n = 4split evenly
S3Mitas3Minda1n = 4Mitas took 3 of 4
S4Mitas2Minda1n = 3Mitas took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMitasMindaMitas − MindaBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.031.8+6.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitasMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 244 vs 1019 / 198845.1%51.3%110 / 244 vs 1019 / 1988Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitasMitas 1.50/Minda 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Mitas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mitas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 17 · 07:15J. Mitas3811511113M. Minda32511791
WJul 17 · 04:50J. Mitas331111113M. Minda207850
WJul 16 · 11:00J. Mitas4111118113M. Minda26841131
LJun 22 · 12:10J. Mitas401361471M. Minda49151112113
J. Mitas10
WSep 21 · 20:30K. Kostyk2.205370J. Mitas1.611111113WSep 21 · 18:05P. Blocho2.2539100J. Mitas1.571111123LSep 21 · 16:55J. Chmielowski1.80411116113J. Mitas1.9111541162LSep 21 · 15:25M. Kolek2.0011114113J. Mitas1.73951161LSep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.5011116113J. Mitas2.50771151LSep 12 · 24:45J. Mitas2.00116661K. Staszczyk1.7331111113WSep 11 · 23:55J. Mitas1.6711118133M. Marchlewski2.106911111LSep 11 · 22:05J. Mitas2.2512148732T. Filbrandt1.5710121111113LSep 11 · 21:00K. Strowski1.33116811113J. Mitas3.2571111552WSep 11 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski1.44711121162J. Mitas2.63116143113
M. Minda10
LSep 21 · 20:05J. Chmielowski1.4411117123M. Minda2.635811101WSep 21 · 17:20M. Kolek1.805690M. Minda1.911111113LSep 21 · 16:30P. Blocho1.6712116113M. Minda2.101041171WSep 21 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.8071111842M. Minda1.91117811113LSep 20 · 14:10G. Kesik1.83117811113M. Minda1.8351111292LSep 20 · 13:20R. Stapor1.83151111113M. Minda1.83178841LSep 20 · 11:15M. Woskowicz2.208101111113M. Minda1.6111128912LSep 20 · 10:25R. Chrzescian1.5311613123M. Minda2.3891111101LSep 20 · 09:00A. Wos1.6113411113M. Minda2.201111431WSep 20 · 08:05M. Minda1.73971115113D. Solilo2.00111161382
Upcoming Matches
J. Mitas
Sep 21 · 21:25J. Mitas2.00J. Chmielowski1.73—Sep 21 · 21:50J. Mitas2.00K. Staszczyk1.73—Sep 21 · 23:20J. Mitas1.36K. Kostyk2.80—Sep 22 · 24:10J. Mitas1.80M. Kolek1.91—Sep 22 · 15:25J. Mitas—M. Minda——Sep 22 · 16:55J. Mitas—J. Chmielowski——Sep 22 · 18:05J. Mitas—P. Blocho——Sep 22 · 19:15J. Mitas—K. Rudomina——Sep 22 · 20:30J. Mitas—L. Pietraszko——Sep 22 · 21:25J. Mitas—J. Chmielowski——
M. Minda
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