TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Gracjan Kesik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115711811112119
Michal Minda
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGracjan Kesik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGracjan Kesik above · Michal Minda below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 86 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Gracjan Kesik at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Gracjan Kesik 9–7 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:55What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Minda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Kesik
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kesik 1470 vs Minda 1461
Kesik
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kesik 40% vs Minda 20%
Kesik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kesik 40% vs Minda 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kesik +1 · Minda -4
Minda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kesik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKesik 1.83 / Minda 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kesik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13159160
Kesik1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Minda1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKesik6wins
AwayMinda4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKesik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKesik50%2 of 4
AwayMinda33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kesik4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S2Kesik4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S3Kesik6Minda4n = 10Kesik took 6 of 10
S4Kesik5Minda3n = 8Kesik took 5 of 8
S5Kesik3Minda2n = 5Kesik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKesikMindaK − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.539.4+1.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKesikMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 610 vs 1021 / 199253.6%51.3%327 / 610 vs 1021 / 1992Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KesikKesik 1.83/Minda 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kesik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kesik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 05:40G. Kesik48711811113M. Minda3711511552
WSep 1 · 03:40G. Kesik491011115123M. Minda43127311102
WAug 31 · 09:00G. Kesik4011711113M. Minda28711281
WAug 31 · 07:40G. Kesik4181111113M. Minda35119781
WMay 29 · 09:25G. Kesik47114912113M. Minda48811111082
LApr 12 · 07:35G. Kesik3911611832M. Minda43711311113
LApr 10 · 09:50G. Kesik229670M. Minda331111113
LMar 5 · 15:20G. Kesik214980M. Minda331111113
WFeb 27 · 13:40G. Kesik47101511113M. Minda391213771
LFeb 16 · 21:05G. Kesik5113813892M. Minda5511111111113
G. Kesik10
WSep 20 · 12:30M. Woskowicz2.107280G. Kesik1.671111113LSep 20 · 11:40A. Wos1.571111113G. Kesik2.259690WSep 20 · 10:50G. Kesik2.001111113R. Stapor1.733980LSep 20 · 09:40G. Kesik1.9181191172R. Chrzescian1.80117119113LSep 20 · 08:30G. Kesik2.209101181R. Chrzescian1.6111129113LSep 20 · 06:55G. Kesik3.003710G. Poliniewicz1.361111113WSep 20 · 05:40G. Kesik1.83711811113M. Minda1.8311511552LSep 20 · 04:10G. Kesik1.918890R. Stapor1.801111113LSep 20 · 03:00G. Kesik2.1095100D. Solilo1.671111123WSep 13 · 20:05L. Pietraszko1.53631291G. Kesik2.38111110113
M. Minda10
LSep 20 · 13:20R. Stapor1.83151111113M. Minda1.83178841LSep 20 · 11:15M. Woskowicz2.208101111113M. Minda1.6111128912LSep 20 · 10:25R. Chrzescian1.5311613123M. Minda2.3891111101LSep 20 · 09:00A. Wos1.6113411113M. Minda2.201111431WSep 20 · 08:05M. Minda1.73971115113D. Solilo2.00111161382WSep 20 · 06:30R. Stapor1.91116931M. Minda1.8061111113LSep 20 · 05:40G. Kesik1.83711811113M. Minda1.8311511552LSep 20 · 04:55M. Minda2.5078100R. Chrzescian1.501111123LSep 20 · 03:45M. Minda3.0051040G. Poliniewicz1.361112113WSep 19 · 14:15M. Minda1.90571113113P. Blocho1.80111181182
Upcoming Matches
G. Kesik
Nothing scheduled
M. Minda
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