TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Minda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9117111161513118
Dominik Solilo
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:36 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Minda above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 102 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Dominik Solilo at 56.5%
102 points played in total.
H2H Michal Minda 20–12 Dominik Solilo Dominik Solilo has won 12 of their 32 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:36What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-12 in 32
Minda
Correct
gap of 8 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Minda 1473 vs Solilo 1579
Solilo
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Minda 40% vs Solilo 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Minda 40% vs Solilo 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Minda +1 · Solilo -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solilo) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.73 / Solilo 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Minda)-7.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13159314
Minda1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 272 of 434
Up 2–0, closes it97% 115 of 119
Up 1–0, closes it81% 207 of 255
Solilo2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 77 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMinda3wins
AwaySolilo7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSolilo leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMinda75%3 of 4
AwaySolilo100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda4Solilo6n = 10Solilo took 6 of 10
S2Minda3Solilo7n = 10Solilo took 7 of 10
S3Minda3Solilo7n = 10Solilo took 7 of 10
S4Minda3Solilo3n = 6split evenly
S5Minda2Solilo2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMindaSoliloM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.438.6−3.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime1020 / 1987 vs 252 / 52251.3%48.3%1020 / 1987 vs 252 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloMinda 1.73/Solilo 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 17:40M. Minda4377111172D. Solilo44111192113
LSep 9 · 06:50M. Minda31911291D. Solilo4211911113
LSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda2410860D. Solilo341211113
LSep 4 · 04:25M. Minda2511860D. Solilo351311113
LSep 3 · 06:25M. Minda471141011112D. Solilo49811125133
LSep 2 · 04:50M. Minda2010640D. Solilo341211113
WAug 27 · 08:05M. Minda48138511113D. Solilo45111111482
WAug 21 · 11:50M. Minda511110118113D. Solilo4251261182
WAug 20 · 11:25M. Minda331111113D. Solilo227870
LAug 17 · 03:40M. Minda32711681D. Solilo3911611113
M. Minda10
WSep 20 · 06:30R. Stapor1.91116931M. Minda1.8061111113LSep 20 · 05:40G. Kesik1.83711811113M. Minda1.8311511552LSep 20 · 04:55M. Minda2.5078100R. Chrzescian1.501111123LSep 20 · 03:45M. Minda3.0051040G. Poliniewicz1.361112113WSep 19 · 14:15M. Minda1.90571113113P. Blocho1.80111181182WSep 19 · 12:35B. Mleczko1.9512971162M. Minda1.671011118113LSep 19 · 11:45A. Wos1.651111143M. Minda1.9877120LSep 19 · 10:55M. Minda1.5041161592W. Gronowski2.351171113113WSep 19 · 09:45M. Minda2.751111113R. Chrzescian1.409880LSep 19 · 08:30M. Minda1.7812631152B. Mleczko1.911011117113
D. Solilo10
LSep 20 · 07:20R. Chrzescian1.73111110113D. Solilo2.00791291WSep 20 · 05:15R. Stapor2.205750D. Solilo1.611111113LSep 20 · 04:30G. Poliniewicz1.671111118113D. Solilo2.1071381172WSep 20 · 03:00G. Kesik2.1095100D. Solilo1.671111123LSep 17 · 19:40M. Rutkowski1.531111123D. Solilo2.3889100WSep 17 · 18:50M. Lukaszewski3.5011108101D. Solilo1.2861211123LSep 17 · 18:05D. Solilo1.809890M. Kolek1.911111113LSep 17 · 16:30D. Solilo1.619780K. Rudomina2.201111113WSep 17 · 15:45A. Mugowski2.75101030D. Solilo1.401212113LSep 17 · 14:15D. Solilo2.40641181P. Jendrzejewski1.5011119113
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