TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171113118811117
Dominik Solilo
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Poliniewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Poliniewicz above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Grzegorz Poliniewicz at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 7–6 Dominik Solilo Dominik Solilo has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Poliniewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1615 vs Solilo 1587
Poliniewicz
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 20% vs Solilo 40%
Solilo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 30% vs Solilo 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz +1 · Solilo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.67 / Solilo 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13159137
Poliniewicz1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 313 of 443
Up 2–0, closes it95% 139 of 147
Up 1–0, closes it84% 228 of 273
Solilo2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 77 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoliniewicz5wins
AwaySolilo5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoliniewicz62.5%5 of 8
AwaySolilon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz8Solilo2n = 10Poliniewicz took 8 of 10
S2Poliniewicz3Solilo7n = 10Solilo took 7 of 10
S3Poliniewicz5Solilo5n = 10split evenly
S4Poliniewicz5Solilo3n = 8Poliniewicz took 5 of 8
S5Poliniewicz1Solilo3n = 4Solilo took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczSoliloP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.539.1+1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime1228 / 2097 vs 251 / 51958.6%48.4%1228 / 2097 vs 251 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczPoliniewicz 1.67/Solilo 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 10:55G. Poliniewicz4211137113D. Solilo369111151
LSep 12 · 14:35G. Poliniewicz4711811982D. Solilo47611811113
WSep 12 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz551114811113D. Solilo5281611982
WSep 4 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz4111811113D. Solilo32711951
LSep 3 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz28751151D. Solilo4211119113
LAug 27 · 03:00G. Poliniewicz259970D. Solilo331111113
LJul 31 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz4411115892D. Solilo50891111113
WJul 3 · 06:25G. Poliniewicz351111133D. Solilo2577110
WJul 3 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz4211911113D. Solilo30311791
LApr 6 · 13:10G. Poliniewicz46117711102D. Solilo44511115123
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 20 · 07:45R. Stapor3.509680G. Poliniewicz1.281111113WSep 20 · 06:55G. Kesik3.003710G. Poliniewicz1.361111113LSep 20 · 06:05G. Poliniewicz1.6781191182R. Chrzescian2.10118119113WSep 20 · 03:45M. Minda3.0051040G. Poliniewicz1.361112113LSep 19 · 14:35D. Kostal2.6311811133G. Poliniewicz1.448119111LSep 19 · 13:20G. Poliniewicz3.0081211552J. Stecyszyn1.361110711113LSep 19 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.221011811113G. Poliniewicz4.0012811532LSep 19 · 10:50D. Wederlich1.22115811113G. Poliniewicz4.0071111972WSep 19 · 09:20A. Daniel1.50561181G. Poliniewicz2.5011119113LSep 19 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.007101171M. Jadczyk1.2211129113
D. Solilo10
LSep 20 · 08:05M. Minda1.73971115113D. Solilo2.00111161382LSep 20 · 07:20R. Chrzescian1.73111110113D. Solilo2.00791291WSep 20 · 05:15R. Stapor2.205750D. Solilo1.611111113WSep 20 · 03:00G. Kesik2.1095100D. Solilo1.671111123LSep 17 · 19:40M. Rutkowski1.531111123D. Solilo2.3889100WSep 17 · 18:50M. Lukaszewski3.5011108101D. Solilo1.2861211123LSep 17 · 18:05D. Solilo1.809890M. Kolek1.911111113LSep 17 · 16:30D. Solilo1.619780K. Rudomina2.201111113WSep 17 · 15:45A. Mugowski2.75101030D. Solilo1.401212113LSep 17 · 14:15D. Solilo2.40641181P. Jendrzejewski1.5011119113
Upcoming Matches
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