TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141051
Played Sep 17Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11610128111012––
Dominik Solilo
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMikolaj Lukaszewski above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Mikolaj Lukaszewski at 66.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 0–3 Dominik Solilo Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:02What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Solilo
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1349 vs Solilo 1593
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 244 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 20% vs Solilo 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 60% vs Solilo 30%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski -3 · Solilo -2
Lukaszewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Solilo) · live re-read · sealed at 34% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 3.50 / Solilo 1.28
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Solilo)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13141051
Lukaszewski3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 255 of 625
Down 0–1, comes back14% 47 of 342
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 186
Solilo1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 140 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it93% 74 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it79% 102 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLukaszewski0wins
AwaySolilo3wins
Solilo leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySolilo100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski0Solilo3n = 3Solilo took 3 of 3
S2Lukaszewski0Solilo3n = 3Solilo took 3 of 3
S3Lukaszewski0Solilo3n = 3Solilo took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away3100%
These 3 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiSoliloL − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match20.333.7−13.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime917 / 2006 vs 248 / 51645.7%48.1%917 / 2006 vs 248 / 516Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloLukaszewski 3.50/Solilo 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 1 · 04:30M. Lukaszewski2011540D. Solilo351311113
LAug 31 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski174850D. Solilo331111113
LAug 20 · 03:00M. Lukaszewski248880D. Solilo331111113
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 17 · 17:40M. Lukaszewski2.00121190A. Mugowski1.731413113LSep 17 · 16:05M. Lukaszewski4.0017101271M. Rutkowski1.22191210113LSep 17 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.6341111882K. Rudomina1.44114811113WSep 15 · 24:10M. Lukaszewski1.321112113P. Ostachowski3.0551080LSep 14 · 23:20M. Lukaszewski1.994101191M. Trela1.6811128113WSep 14 · 21:55M. Lukaszewski2.1311118113A. Myszewski1.59771171WSep 14 · 21:30M. Lukaszewski1.661111113K. Golaszewski2.014890WSep 14 · 20:30M. Trela1.737911111M. Lukaszewski1.9211118133WSep 14 · 19:20M. Lukaszewski1.441111113P. Ostachowski2.505580WSep 14 · 18:10P. Strus2.2551290M. Lukaszewski1.571114113
D. Solilo10
LSep 17 · 19:40M. Rutkowski1.531111123D. Solilo2.3889100LSep 17 · 18:05D. Solilo1.809890M. Kolek1.911111113LSep 17 · 16:30D. Solilo1.619780K. Rudomina2.201111113WSep 17 · 15:45A. Mugowski2.75101030D. Solilo1.401212113LSep 17 · 14:15D. Solilo2.40641181P. Jendrzejewski1.5011119113LSep 17 · 12:35K. Kapik1.501512123D. Solilo2.401310100LSep 17 · 11:45M. Rutkowski1.3712911113D. Solilo2.701011861LSep 17 · 10:55D. Solilo2.609111151G. Poliniewicz1.4011137113WSep 17 · 09:45D. Solilo2.25811128113M. Olbrycht1.57119101182WSep 16 · 23:20M. Kolek1.835860D. Solilo1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lukaszewski
Sep 17 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski3.00M. Kolek1.36—Sep 17 · 21:00M. Lukaszewski2.38K. Rudomina1.53—Sep 17 · 22:10M. Lukaszewski1.80A. Mugowski1.91—Sep 17 · 22:35M. Lukaszewski3.50K. Staszczyk1.28—Sep 17 · 23:20M. Lukaszewski3.50M. Kolek1.28—Sep 18 · 22:30M. Lukaszewski—B. Sulkowski——Sep 18 · 23:15M. Lukaszewski—K. Staszczyk——Sep 18 · 23:55M. Lukaszewski—P. Blocho——Sep 19 · 01:30M. Lukaszewski—M. Woskowicz——
D. Solilo
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.