TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128247
Played Sep 14Finished
Piotr Strus
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111214911––––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:12 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
5111214911––––
H2H Piotr Strus 15–11 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lukaszewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Strus
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strus 1190 vs Lukaszewski 1350
Lukaszewski
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strus 60% vs Lukaszewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strus 40% vs Lukaszewski 60%
Lukaszewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strus +2 · Lukaszewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lukaszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrus 2.25 / Lukaszewski 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Lukaszewski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128247
Strus2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 90 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back26% 27 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 59
Lukaszewski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 90 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it80% 71 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrus6wins
AwayLukaszewski4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStrus leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrus60%3 of 5
AwayLukaszewski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strus5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Strus5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Strus5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Strus3Lukaszewski6n = 9Lukaszewski took 6 of 9
S5Strus5Lukaszewski1n = 6Strus took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrusLukaszewskiS − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.443.0+1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrusLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 839 vs 920 / 200845.8%45.8%384 / 839 vs 920 / 2008Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukaszewskiStrus 2.25/Lukaszewski 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Lukaszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 16:35P. Strus50119101192M. Lukaszewski52911129113
WAug 28 · 18:10P. Strus52147119113M. Lukaszewski46121141182
LAug 26 · 16:35P. Strus31116591M. Lukaszewski3961111113
WAug 14 · 18:55P. Strus49881111113M. Lukaszewski4611117892
WAug 12 · 18:55P. Strus381111163M. Lukaszewski2996140
WJul 8 · 19:40P. Strus45141118113M. Lukaszewski44124111162
LJul 3 · 18:10P. Strus36714781M. Lukaszewski45111211113
WJul 1 · 16:35P. Strus52811911133M. Lukaszewski38113112112
WJun 26 · 16:35P. Strus50811119113M. Lukaszewski4611691192
LJun 24 · 18:55P. Strus411091391M. Lukaszewski45121111113
P. Strus10
WSep 14 · 16:35P. Strus1.6211119113P. Ostachowski2.11771191WSep 14 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.80921161P. Strus1.9011117113LSep 11 · 19:40W. Gluszek1.901111113P. Strus1.757820LSep 11 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.801111113P. Strus1.908760WSep 11 · 18:10P. Strus1.801212113K. Marchlewski1.91101060LSep 11 · 16:35P. Strus1.84119101192M. Lukaszewski1.79911129113LSep 11 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.43611119113P. Strus2.5011451162WSep 9 · 19:40K. Golaszewski1.85117111172P. Strus1.85131198113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.561111113P. Strus2.176750LSep 9 · 18:10P. Strus2.507850A. Myszewski1.461111113
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 14 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.9311860M. Lukaszewski1.771311113LSep 14 · 15:25A. Myszewski1.60711711133M. Lukaszewski2.10117115112WSep 13 · 14:20M. Lukaszewski1.851112113P. Staniszewski1.8041080LSep 13 · 12:40M. Sinicki1.75116611113M. Lukaszewski1.9571111682WSep 13 · 11:50B. Wisniewski1.861191071M. Lukaszewski1.8091112113LSep 13 · 11:00M. Lukaszewski1.7411116582M. Piecowski1.91881111113WSep 13 · 09:50M. Lukaszewski1.741111123A. Eliasz1.9557100WSep 12 · 24:10K. Marchlewski2.0594100M. Lukaszewski1.681111123LSep 11 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski1.90111191092D. Poloszczanski1.80461112113WSep 11 · 16:35P. Strus1.84119101192M. Lukaszewski1.79911129113
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