TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141063
Played Sep 17Finished
Mateusz Rutkowski
Home
1.37
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210911118116––
Dominik Solilo
Away
2.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:05 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeMateusz Rutkowski to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1210911118116––
H2H Mateusz Rutkowski 4–1 Dominik Solilo Dominik Solilo has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (66%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Rutkowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rutkowski 1675 vs Solilo 1650
Rutkowski
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rutkowski 40% vs Solilo 60%
Solilo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rutkowski 50% vs Solilo 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rutkowski -2 · Solilo -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRutkowski 1.37 / Solilo 2.70
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Rutkowski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13141063
Rutkowski1.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 358 of 502
Up 2–0, closes it98% 173 of 177
Up 1–0, closes it90% 280 of 313
Solilo2.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 76 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRutkowski4wins
AwaySolilo1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderRutkowski leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRutkowski80%4 of 5
AwaySolilon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rutkowski5Solilo0n = 5Rutkowski took 5 of 5
S2Rutkowski4Solilo1n = 5Rutkowski took 4 of 5
S3Rutkowski4Solilo1n = 5Rutkowski took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricRutkowskiSoliloR − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match37.430.8+6.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRutkowskiSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime796 / 1417 vs 247 / 51056.2%48.4%796 / 1417 vs 247 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiRutkowski 1.37/Solilo 2.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 16 · 15:00M. Rutkowski4411813842D. Solilo539111111113
WAug 29 · 24:45M. Rutkowski331111113D. Solilo208660
WAug 18 · 23:45M. Rutkowski331111113D. Solilo207850
WAug 17 · 21:00M. Rutkowski44111111113D. Solilo36971371
WDec 30 · 16:30M. Rutkowski331111113D. Solilo259970
M. Rutkowski10
WSep 17 · 13:00M. Rutkowski1.6311911113M. Olbrycht2.05211971LSep 17 · 10:05M. Rutkowski1.754760K. Kapik1.901111113LSep 17 · 09:00M. Rutkowski1.74125471P. Jendrzejewski1.90101111113WSep 16 · 20:05M. Minda2.754960M. Rutkowski1.401111113LSep 16 · 19:15M. Kolek2.25311811143M. Rutkowski1.57116119122WSep 16 · 17:20B. Sulkowski3.50611651M. Rutkowski1.2811711113WSep 16 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.50771261M. Rutkowski1.50111110113LSep 16 · 15:00D. Solilo3.759111111113M. Rutkowski1.2511813842WSep 16 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.57101311123D. Kosmal2.2512118101WSep 16 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz1.951186141M. Rutkowski1.7071111163
D. Solilo10
LSep 17 · 12:35K. Kapik1.501512123D. Solilo2.401310100LSep 17 · 10:55D. Solilo2.609111151G. Poliniewicz1.4011137113WSep 17 · 09:45D. Solilo2.25811128113M. Olbrycht1.57119101182WSep 16 · 23:20M. Kolek1.835860D. Solilo1.831111113LSep 16 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.571111113D. Solilo2.259680WSep 16 · 22:10D. Solilo1.40511511113J. Lamperski2.7511311692WSep 16 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.004780D. Solilo1.731111113LSep 16 · 20:30D. Solilo1.83531281M. Kolek1.83111110113LSep 16 · 18:50D. Solilo1.83814531J. Zochniak1.83111211113WSep 16 · 15:00D. Solilo3.759111111113M. Rutkowski1.2511813842
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