TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13137070
Played Sep 16Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811611––––
Dominik Solilo
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaciej Kolek above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Dominik Solilo at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Kolek 6–9 Dominik Solilo Maciej Kolek has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kolek beat Solilo 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Solilo
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1681 vs Solilo 1650
Kolek
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 60% vs Solilo 40%
Kolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 70% vs Solilo 50%
Kolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -1 · Solilo -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solilo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.83 / Solilo 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Solilo)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13137070
Kolek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Solilo1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolek3wins
AwaySolilo7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSolilo leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek60%3 of 5
AwaySolilo100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek5Solilo5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolek3Solilo7n = 10Solilo took 7 of 10
S3Kolek3Solilo7n = 10Solilo took 7 of 10
S4Kolek2Solilo5n = 7Solilo took 5 of 7
S5Kolek2Solilo2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolekSoliloK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.139.9−3.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime704 / 1413 vs 246 / 50849.8%48.4%704 / 1413 vs 246 / 508Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloKolek 1.83/Solilo 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 23:20M. Kolek195860D. Solilo331111113
WSep 16 · 20:30M. Kolek43111110113D. Solilo28531281
LSep 13 · 12:10M. Kolek29371181D. Solilo4111118113
LSep 12 · 09:00M. Kolek217860D. Solilo331111113
LAug 13 · 09:25M. Kolek50118119112D. Solilo49811611133
WAug 12 · 11:00M. Kolek551113911113D. Solilo45311111372
LAug 10 · 04:50M. Kolek4612711882D. Solilo501011711113
WAug 4 · 03:40M. Kolek45116611113D. Solilo4451111982
LJul 21 · 09:50M. Kolek369116101D. Solilo4311911123
LJul 18 · 11:20M. Kolek173680D. Solilo331111113
M. Kolek10
LSep 16 · 21:50M. Kolek2.00761271K. Staszczyk1.73111110113WSep 16 · 21:25M. Kolek1.2513119133J. Lamperski3.7511911111WSep 16 · 20:30D. Solilo1.83531281M. Kolek1.83111110113WSep 16 · 19:15M. Kolek2.25311811143M. Rutkowski1.57116119122LSep 16 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.2561113163M. Kolek1.5711711141WSep 16 · 16:55M. Minda1.918650M. Kolek1.801111113WSep 16 · 15:25B. Sulkowski3.2511117992M. Kolek1.33991111113WSep 14 · 19:40M. Kolek1.6112911113K. Rudomina2.201011881LSep 14 · 18:30M. Kolek1.6188111192A. Linek2.20111153113WSep 14 · 17:20M. Kolek1.57811118113K. Kostyk2.2511761162
D. Solilo10
LSep 16 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.571111113D. Solilo2.259680WSep 16 · 22:10D. Solilo1.40511511113J. Lamperski2.7511311692WSep 16 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.004780D. Solilo1.731111113LSep 16 · 20:30D. Solilo1.83531281M. Kolek1.83111110113LSep 16 · 18:50D. Solilo1.83814531J. Zochniak1.83111211113WSep 16 · 17:40D. Solilo1.73111192113M. Minda2.0077111172WSep 16 · 16:05D. Solilo1.7313119123B. Sulkowski2.0011911101WSep 16 · 15:00D. Solilo3.759111111113M. Rutkowski1.2511813842LSep 16 · 24:35B. Kwodawski3.40118113113D. Solilo1.3061171162LSep 15 · 22:55A. Linek2.6311911113D. Solilo1.44611881
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolek
Sep 17 · 15:25M. Kolek—M. Rutkowski——Sep 17 · 16:55M. Kolek—A. Mugowski——Sep 17 · 18:05M. Kolek—D. Solilo——Sep 17 · 19:15M. Kolek—K. Rudomina——Sep 17 · 20:30M. Kolek—M. Lukaszewski——Sep 17 · 21:25M. Kolek—A. Mugowski——Sep 17 · 21:50M. Kolek—K. Staszczyk——Sep 17 · 23:20M. Kolek—M. Lukaszewski——Sep 18 · 24:10M. Kolek—K. Rudomina——
D. Solilo
Sep 17 · 09:45D. Solilo—M. Olbrycht——Sep 17 · 10:55D. Solilo—G. Poliniewicz——Sep 17 · 11:45D. Solilo—M. Rutkowski——Sep 17 · 12:35D. Solilo—K. Kapik——Sep 17 · 14:15D. Solilo—P. Jendrzejewski——Sep 17 · 15:45D. Solilo—A. Mugowski——Sep 17 · 16:30D. Solilo—K. Rudomina——Sep 17 · 18:05D. Solilo—M. Kolek——Sep 17 · 18:50D. Solilo—M. Lukaszewski——Sep 17 · 19:40D. Solilo—M. Rutkowski——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.