TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13145938
Starts 10:10 PMScheduled
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 36–4Last 10Lost last 3
Head to head
21 – 22
All 43 meetings · 48.8%
Last 10 · 6–4Split
Arkadiusz Mugowski
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 24–6Last 10Won last 2
Mikolaj Lukaszewski arrives off 3 straight losses. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 5h before this match
Mugowski beat Lukaszewski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 2.00 / Mugowski 1.73
TT Elite Series · #13145938
Lukaszewski2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 255 of 625
Down 0–1, comes back14% 47 of 342
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 186
Mugowski1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 92 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 72 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski6wins
AwayMugowski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLukaszewski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski100%6 of 6
AwayMugowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski6Mugowski4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Lukaszewski4Mugowski6n = 10Mugowski took 6 of 10
S3Lukaszewski7Mugowski3n = 10Lukaszewski took 7 of 10
S4Lukaszewski2Mugowski5n = 7Mugowski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiMugowskiL − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.237.3−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiMugowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime917 / 2006 vs 910 / 199445.7%45.6%917 / 2006 vs 910 / 1994Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 04:10M. Lukaszewski541411115133A. Mugowski541213711112
LAug 27 · 06:05M. Lukaszewski236980A. Mugowski331111113
WAug 21 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski4111811113A. Mugowski35911691
WJul 19 · 11:00M. Lukaszewski3811411123A. Mugowski389118101
LJul 9 · 23:20M. Lukaszewski355116131A. Mugowski4411711153
WJul 9 · 21:00M. Lukaszewski341112113A. Mugowski2561090
WJul 9 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski481111114113A. Mugowski4771381182
LMar 11 · 07:30M. Lukaszewski31611951A. Mugowski3911611113
LFeb 9 · 15:15M. Lukaszewski351081161A. Mugowski4112117113
WFeb 2 · 12:20M. Lukaszewski331111113A. Mugowski176740
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 17 · 17:40M. Lukaszewski2.00121190A. Mugowski1.731413113LSep 17 · 16:05M. Lukaszewski4.0017101271M. Rutkowski1.22191210113LSep 17 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.6341111882K. Rudomina1.44114811113WSep 15 · 24:10M. Lukaszewski1.321112113P. Ostachowski3.0551080LSep 14 · 23:20M. Lukaszewski1.994101191M. Trela1.6811128113WSep 14 · 21:55M. Lukaszewski2.1311118113A. Myszewski1.59771171WSep 14 · 21:30M. Lukaszewski1.661111113K. Golaszewski2.014890WSep 14 · 20:30M. Trela1.737911111M. Lukaszewski1.9211118133WSep 14 · 19:20M. Lukaszewski1.441111113P. Ostachowski2.505580WSep 14 · 18:10P. Strus2.2551290M. Lukaszewski1.571114113
A. Mugowski10
WSep 17 · 17:40M. Lukaszewski2.00121190A. Mugowski1.731413113WSep 17 · 16:55A. Mugowski2.63711117113M. Kolek1.4411991192LSep 17 · 15:45A. Mugowski2.75101030D. Solilo1.401212113WSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120LSep 5 · 12:35A. Mugowski1.73111181242K. Klocek2.00991114113LSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100WSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842LSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 06:25A. Lilien1.451111123A. Mugowski2.5075100
Upcoming Matches
M. Lukaszewski
Sep 17 · 18:50M. Lukaszewski3.50D. Solilo1.28—Sep 17 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski3.00M. Kolek1.36—Sep 17 · 21:00M. Lukaszewski2.38K. Rudomina1.53—Sep 17 · 22:35M. Lukaszewski3.50K. Staszczyk1.28—Sep 17 · 23:20M. Lukaszewski3.50M. Kolek1.28—Sep 18 · 22:30M. Lukaszewski—B. Sulkowski——Sep 18 · 23:15M. Lukaszewski—K. Staszczyk——Sep 18 · 23:55M. Lukaszewski—P. Blocho——Sep 19 · 01:30M. Lukaszewski—M. Woskowicz——
A. Mugowski
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