TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811118911119811
Radoslaw Chrzescian
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Poliniewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingGrzegorz Poliniewicz above · Radoslaw Chrzescian below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Grzegorz Poliniewicz at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 6–3 Radoslaw Chrzescian Radoslaw Chrzescian has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:56What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Poliniewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Poliniewicz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1673 vs Chrzescian 1682
Chrzescian
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Chrzescian 80%
Chrzescian
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Chrzescian 90%
Chrzescian
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz +2 · Chrzescian +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chrzescian form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.67 / Chrzescian 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13159171
Poliniewicz1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 315 of 445
Up 2–0, closes it95% 140 of 148
Up 1–0, closes it84% 230 of 275
Chrzescian2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 10 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePoliniewicz6wins
AwayChrzescian3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoliniewicz83.3%5 of 6
AwayChrzescian66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz6Chrzescian3n = 9Poliniewicz took 6 of 9
S2Poliniewicz4Chrzescian5n = 9Chrzescian took 5 of 9
S3Poliniewicz7Chrzescian2n = 9Poliniewicz took 7 of 9
S4Poliniewicz5Chrzescian2n = 7Poliniewicz took 5 of 7
S5Poliniewicz1Chrzescian2n = 3Chrzescian took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczChrzescianP − CBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match41.037.4+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczChrzescianBasisWin rate · lifetime1231 / 2101 vs 187 / 35458.6%52.8%1231 / 2101 vs 187 / 354Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczPoliniewicz 1.67/Chrzescian 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chrzescian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 20 · 06:05G. Poliniewicz4781191182R. Chrzescian50118119113
WAug 9 · 03:20G. Poliniewicz45711115113R. Chrzescian4011561172
WFeb 22 · 13:20G. Poliniewicz4816912113R. Chrzescian4214111071
LFeb 1 · 07:10G. Poliniewicz34117791R. Chrzescian4291111113
LJan 6 · 08:55G. Poliniewicz4567111472R. Chrzescian511111612113
WJan 5 · 06:20G. Poliniewicz4011711113R. Chrzescian35811971
WAug 9 · 06:10G. Poliniewicz331111113R. Chrzescian239680
WJul 19 · 05:45G. Poliniewicz43111011113R. Chrzescian32712761
WApr 25 · 05:20G. Poliniewicz341211113R. Chrzescian2210570
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 20 · 07:45R. Stapor3.509680G. Poliniewicz1.281111113WSep 20 · 06:55G. Kesik3.003710G. Poliniewicz1.361111113WSep 20 · 04:30G. Poliniewicz1.671111118113D. Solilo2.1071381172WSep 20 · 03:45M. Minda3.0051040G. Poliniewicz1.361112113LSep 19 · 14:35D. Kostal2.6311811133G. Poliniewicz1.448119111LSep 19 · 13:20G. Poliniewicz3.0081211552J. Stecyszyn1.361110711113LSep 19 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.221011811113G. Poliniewicz4.0012811532LSep 19 · 10:50D. Wederlich1.22115811113G. Poliniewicz4.0071111972WSep 19 · 09:20A. Daniel1.50561181G. Poliniewicz2.5011119113LSep 19 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.007101171M. Jadczyk1.2211129113
R. Chrzescian10
WSep 20 · 07:20R. Chrzescian1.73111110113D. Solilo2.00791291WSep 20 · 04:55M. Minda2.5078100R. Chrzescian1.501111123WSep 20 · 03:25R. Stapor2.50811351R. Chrzescian1.5011911113LSep 19 · 20:30B. Sulkowski3.251111311113R. Chrzescian1.3376111372WSep 19 · 19:15R. Chrzescian1.73811117113P. Blocho2.0011891192WSep 19 · 18:05P. Maruszak2.75811641R. Chrzescian1.4011811113WSep 19 · 16:55M. Woskowicz2.7531070R. Chrzescian1.401112113WSep 19 · 15:25A. Wos2.10810110R. Chrzescian1.671112133WSep 19 · 13:50B. Mleczko2.6511811782R. Chrzescian1.40611611113WSep 19 · 13:00A. Wos2.05121111772R. Chrzescian1.681031311113
Upcoming Matches
G. Poliniewicz
Nothing scheduled
R. Chrzescian
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