TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13157703
Played Sep 19Finished
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Home
2.65
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116811116711811
Radoslaw Chrzescian
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:28 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Chrzescian to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
116811116711811
H2H Bartlomiej Mleczko 3–5 Radoslaw Chrzescian Bartlomiej Mleczko has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (65%)
Chrzescian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Chrzescian
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mleczko 1408 vs Chrzescian 1626
Chrzescian
Correct
both rated, 219 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mleczko 40% vs Chrzescian 80%
Chrzescian
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mleczko 50% vs Chrzescian 90%
Chrzescian
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mleczko -3 · Chrzescian +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Chrzescian) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMleczko 2.65 / Chrzescian 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Chrzescian)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13157703
Mleczko2.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 52 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Chrzescian1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite76% won 58 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMleczko3wins
AwayChrzescian5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderChrzescian leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMleczkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayChrzescian83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mleczko2Chrzescian6n = 8Chrzescian took 6 of 8
S2Mleczko2Chrzescian6n = 8Chrzescian took 6 of 8
S3Mleczko6Chrzescian2n = 8Mleczko took 6 of 8
S4Mleczko2Chrzescian4n = 6Chrzescian took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricMleczkoChrzescianM − CBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match35.137.4−2.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMleczkoChrzescianBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 799 vs 178 / 34451.8%51.7%414 / 799 vs 178 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChrzescianMleczko 2.65/Chrzescian 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.8%
Chrzescian · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chrzescian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LMar 29 · 06:35B. Mleczko29461181R. Chrzescian3611113113
LFeb 22 · 14:10B. Mleczko4361111692R. Chrzescian46116711113
WFeb 22 · 06:45B. Mleczko4011711113R. Chrzescian28411761
LJan 31 · 12:55B. Mleczko227960R. Chrzescian331111113
LAug 10 · 05:20B. Mleczko31381191R. Chrzescian3911116113
WAug 10 · 24:15B. Mleczko56713117183R. Chrzescian521111311162
WAug 9 · 21:50B. Mleczko3911611113R. Chrzescian32711771
LJun 8 · 09:05B. Mleczko217770R. Chrzescian331111113
B. Mleczko10
LSep 19 · 12:35B. Mleczko1.9512971162M. Minda1.671011118113LSep 19 · 11:20B. Mleczko2.057711111P. Blocho1.6611115133LSep 19 · 10:05A. Wos1.501111113B. Mleczko2.405570WSep 19 · 09:20B. Mleczko1.501111113W. Gronowski2.358480WSep 19 · 08:30M. Minda1.7812631152B. Mleczko1.911011117113LSep 19 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.5341014141D. Wrobel2.38111212163WSep 19 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.20791181B. Mleczko1.6011119113WSep 19 · 04:50D. Poloszczanski3.25811691B. Mleczko1.3011611113LSep 19 · 03:20W. Gronowski2.15611611113B. Mleczko1.6011611852WSep 18 · 13:55B. Mleczko1.441111133J. Przewlocki2.6033110
R. Chrzescian10
WSep 19 · 13:00A. Wos2.05121111772R. Chrzescian1.681031311113WSep 19 · 12:10R. Chrzescian1.3551111123W. Gronowski2.851195101WSep 19 · 10:30R. Chrzescian1.4211115113P. Blocho2.46881181LSep 19 · 09:45M. Minda2.751111113R. Chrzescian1.409880WAug 9 · 13:50R. Malinowski2.10761191R. Chrzescian1.6011118113WAug 9 · 13:00B. Kwodawski2.605590R. Chrzescian1.411111113WAug 9 · 12:10R. Chrzescian1.261111113A. Myszewski3.355990WAug 9 · 10:30R. Chrzescian1.3511411113M. Trela2.80611891WAug 9 · 09:45T. Piotrowski3.4041211472R. Chrzescian1.261110511113WAug 9 · 08:30R. Malinowski2.50751191R. Chrzescian1.4611117113
Upcoming Matches
B. Mleczko
Nothing scheduled
R. Chrzescian
Sep 19 · 16:55R. Chrzescian1.44M. Woskowicz2.63—Sep 19 · 18:05R. Chrzescian1.44P. Maruszak2.63—Sep 19 · 19:15R. Chrzescian1.73P. Blocho2.00—Sep 19 · 20:30R. Chrzescian1.33B. Sulkowski3.25—Sep 20 · 03:25R. Chrzescian1.50R. Stapor2.50—Sep 20 · 04:55R. Chrzescian1.50M. Minda2.50—Sep 20 · 06:05R. Chrzescian1.91G. Poliniewicz1.80—Sep 20 · 07:20R. Chrzescian1.73D. Solilo2.00—Sep 20 · 08:30R. Chrzescian1.80G. Kesik1.91—Sep 20 · 09:40R. Chrzescian1.80G. Kesik1.91—
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