TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12388250
Played Aug 9Finished
Radoslaw Chrzescian
Home
1.35
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116411118119––
Mateusz Trela
Away
2.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:43 and never touched — 68.6% is still 68.6%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Chrzescian to win
68.6%
68.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
116411118119––
H2H Radoslaw Chrzescian 1–0 Mateusz Trela Mateusz Trela has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (67%)
Chrzescian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chrzescian 1595 vs Trela 1292
Chrzescian
Correct
both rated, 304 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chrzescian 100% vs Trela 40%
Chrzescian
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chrzescian 90% vs Trela 40%
Chrzescian
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chrzescian +5 · Trela +1
Chrzescian
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Chrzescian) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chrzescian form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChrzescian 1.35 / Trela 2.80
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Chrzescian)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12388250
Chrzescian1.35
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 56 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it85% 45 of 53
Trela2.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 193 of 417
Down 0–1, comes back25% 57 of 227
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChrzescian1wins
AwayTrela0wins
Chrzescian leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChrzescianTrelaC − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.034.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChrzescianTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 389 vs 754 / 155250.1%48.6%195 / 389 vs 754 / 1552Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChrzescianChrzescian 1.35/Trela 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Chrzescian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chrzescian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 9 · 04:50R. Chrzescian—81111123M. Trela—1167101
R. Chrzescian10
WAug 9 · 13:50R. Malinowski2.10761191R. Chrzescian1.6011118113WAug 9 · 13:00B. Kwodawski2.605590R. Chrzescian1.411111113WAug 9 · 12:10R. Chrzescian1.261111113A. Myszewski3.355990WAug 9 · 09:45T. Piotrowski3.4041211472R. Chrzescian1.261110511113WAug 9 · 08:30R. Malinowski2.50751191R. Chrzescian1.4611117113WAug 9 · 07:15R. Chrzescian1.8081112113R. Stapor1.901191061WAug 9 · 06:00A. Myszewski3.106550R. Chrzescian1.301111113WAug 9 · 04:50M. Trela3.201167101R. Chrzescian1.3081111123LAug 9 · 03:20G. Poliniewicz1.60711115113R. Chrzescian2.1511561172WAug 8 · 14:35R. Stapor1.9010512111R. Chrzescian1.80121110133
M. Trela10
LSep 11 · 07:40M. Trela2.357980J. Glanowski1.521111113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Trela1.857101181M. Zagajewski1.8011128113WSep 11 · 05:15M. Trela1.60561111123B. Wisniewski2.20111196102WSep 11 · 04:10M. Misiak1.56812101192M. Trela2.181110126113LSep 11 · 03:25M. Trela1.9511712922R. Stapor1.759111011113WSep 11 · 24:35M. Trela1.631111123K. Golaszewski2.1568100WSep 10 · 23:45K. Klocek1.805480M. Trela1.851111113LSep 10 · 22:35M. Trela1.757970M. Lukaszewski1.951111113WSep 10 · 21:55J. Rolak1.70910111182M. Trela2.00111267113LAug 9 · 04:50M. Trela3.201167101R. Chrzescian1.3081111123
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