TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12388778
Played Aug 9Finished
Bartosz Kwodawski
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511911––––
Radoslaw Chrzescian
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:23 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Chrzescian to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
511511911––––
H2H Bartosz Kwodawski 2–3 Radoslaw Chrzescian Bartosz Kwodawski has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Chrzescian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kwodawski 1307 vs Chrzescian 1605
Chrzescian
Correct
both rated, 298 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kwodawski 20% vs Chrzescian 100%
Chrzescian
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kwodawski 30% vs Chrzescian 90%
Chrzescian
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kwodawski +1 · Chrzescian +5
Chrzescian
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Chrzescian) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chrzescian form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKwodawski 2.60 / Chrzescian 1.41
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Chrzescian)+1.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12388778
Kwodawski2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog29% won 40 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 65
Chrzescian1.41
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 56 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it85% 45 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKwodawski2wins
AwayChrzescian3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderChrzescian leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKwodawskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayChrzescian100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kwodawski2Chrzescian3n = 5Chrzescian took 3 of 5
S2Kwodawski0Chrzescian5n = 5Chrzescian took 5 of 5
S3Kwodawski3Chrzescian2n = 5Kwodawski took 3 of 5
S4Kwodawski1Chrzescian2n = 3Chrzescian took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKwodawskiChrzescianK − CBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match33.039.4−6.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKwodawskiChrzescianBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 450 vs 197 / 39142.7%50.4%192 / 450 vs 197 / 391Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChrzescianKwodawski 2.60/Chrzescian 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.8%
Chrzescian · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chrzescian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LApr 18 · 20:35B. Kwodawski—9570R. Chrzescian—1111113
LMar 28 · 17:20B. Kwodawski—7811111R. Chrzescian—11118133
LMar 28 · 14:10B. Kwodawski—5940R. Chrzescian—1111113
WFeb 21 · 10:05B. Kwodawski—12913113R. Chrzescian—10111191
WApr 25 · 11:50B. Kwodawski—115116113R. Chrzescian—81191182
B. Kwodawski10
LSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:55B. Sulkowski1.5311119113B. Kwodawski2.30671161WSep 5 · 18:10B. Kwodawski3.055111011113A. Lilien1.3111812872LSep 5 · 16:35B. Kwodawski1.639550K. Kufel2.151111113LSep 5 · 15:50J. Michalczyk1.78311812113B. Kwodawski1.93116111042WSep 5 · 14:35J. Przewlocki1.85119881B. Kwodawski1.8551111113LSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 12:10J. Wozniak1.8710650B. Kwodawski1.811211113LSep 5 · 10:55K. Klocek1.9511811113B. Kwodawski1.77911451LSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842
R. Chrzescian10
WAug 9 · 13:50R. Malinowski2.10761191R. Chrzescian1.6011118113WAug 9 · 12:10R. Chrzescian1.261111113A. Myszewski3.355990WAug 9 · 10:30R. Chrzescian1.3511411113M. Trela2.80611891WAug 9 · 09:45T. Piotrowski3.4041211472R. Chrzescian1.261110511113WAug 9 · 08:30R. Malinowski2.50751191R. Chrzescian1.4611117113WAug 9 · 07:15R. Chrzescian1.8081112113R. Stapor1.901191061WAug 9 · 06:00A. Myszewski3.106550R. Chrzescian1.301111113WAug 9 · 04:50M. Trela3.201167101R. Chrzescian1.3081111123LAug 9 · 03:20G. Poliniewicz1.60711115113R. Chrzescian2.1511561172WAug 8 · 14:35R. Stapor1.9010512111R. Chrzescian1.80121110133
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