TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12382672
Played Aug 8Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101251112101113––
Radoslaw Chrzescian
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 65.4% is still 65.4%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Chrzescian to win
65.4%
65.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
101251112101113––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Chrzescian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1507 vs Chrzescian 1560
Chrzescian
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 20% vs Chrzescian 80%
Chrzescian
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 40% vs Chrzescian 80%
Chrzescian
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -2 · Chrzescian +3
Chrzescian
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chrzescian) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chrzescian form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.90 / Chrzescian 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chrzescian)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #12382672
Stapor1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 99 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back18% 26 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 76
Chrzescian1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 49 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it83% 39 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporChrzescianBasisWin rate · lifetime580 / 1001 vs 192 / 39457.9%48.7%580 / 1001 vs 192 / 394Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
ChrzescianStapor 1.90/Chrzescian 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chrzescian · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chrzescian won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Stapor10
LSep 11 · 13:55R. Stapor1.878860B. Mleczko1.831111113WSep 11 · 12:40R. Stapor1.831111173M. Misiak1.8396150LSep 11 · 11:25R. Stapor1.858970B. Czerwinski1.801111113LSep 11 · 10:10B. Sulkowski1.751111113R. Stapor1.959880LSep 11 · 09:25R. Stapor1.7613129892M. Zagajewski1.9011101111113WSep 11 · 08:35M. Misiak1.90871161R. Stapor1.8011119113LSep 11 · 07:20R. Stapor1.358911111B. Wisniewski2.8011113133WSep 11 · 06:05J. Glanowski1.721181081R. Stapor1.9261112113WSep 11 · 04:55M. Zagajewski1.95119871R. Stapor1.7061111113WSep 11 · 03:25M. Trela1.9511712922R. Stapor1.759111011113
R. Chrzescian10
WAug 9 · 13:50R. Malinowski2.10761191R. Chrzescian1.6011118113WAug 9 · 13:00B. Kwodawski2.605590R. Chrzescian1.411111113WAug 9 · 12:10R. Chrzescian1.261111113A. Myszewski3.355990WAug 9 · 10:30R. Chrzescian1.3511411113M. Trela2.80611891WAug 9 · 09:45T. Piotrowski3.4041211472R. Chrzescian1.261110511113WAug 9 · 08:30R. Malinowski2.50751191R. Chrzescian1.4611117113WAug 9 · 07:15R. Chrzescian1.8081112113R. Stapor1.901191061WAug 9 · 06:00A. Myszewski3.106550R. Chrzescian1.301111113WAug 9 · 04:50M. Trela3.201167101R. Chrzescian1.3081111123LAug 9 · 03:20G. Poliniewicz1.60711115113R. Chrzescian2.1511561172
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
R. Chrzescian
Nothing scheduled
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