TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12383038
Played Aug 9Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711115116511117
Radoslaw Chrzescian
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Chrzescian to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
711115116511117
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 5–2 Radoslaw Chrzescian Radoslaw Chrzescian has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:31What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Poliniewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Poliniewicz
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1733 vs Chrzescian 1570
Poliniewicz
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Chrzescian 80%
Chrzescian
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 30% vs Chrzescian 90%
Chrzescian
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz -2 · Chrzescian +4
Chrzescian
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chrzescian form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.60 / Chrzescian 2.15
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12383038
Poliniewicz1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 362 of 506
Up 2–0, closes it95% 164 of 172
Up 1–0, closes it85% 269 of 317
Chrzescian2.15
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 15 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePoliniewicz5wins
AwayChrzescian2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoliniewicz83.3%5 of 6
AwayChrzesciann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz6Chrzescian1n = 7Poliniewicz took 6 of 7
S2Poliniewicz2Chrzescian5n = 7Chrzescian took 5 of 7
S3Poliniewicz6Chrzescian1n = 7Poliniewicz took 6 of 7
S4Poliniewicz4Chrzescian1n = 5Poliniewicz took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczChrzescianP − CBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match39.635.3+4.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczChrzescianBasisWin rate · lifetime1253 / 2121 vs 191 / 38859.1%49.2%1253 / 2121 vs 191 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczPoliniewicz 1.60/Chrzescian 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.3%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WFeb 22 · 13:20G. Poliniewicz—16912113R. Chrzescian—14111071
LFeb 1 · 07:10G. Poliniewicz—117791R. Chrzescian—91111113
LJan 6 · 08:55G. Poliniewicz—67111472R. Chrzescian—1111612113
WJan 5 · 06:20G. Poliniewicz—11711113R. Chrzescian—811971
WAug 9 · 06:10G. Poliniewicz—1111113R. Chrzescian—9680
WJul 19 · 05:45G. Poliniewicz—111011113R. Chrzescian—712761
WApr 25 · 05:20G. Poliniewicz—1211113R. Chrzescian—10570
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 12 · 03:00K. Rudomina3.5511441152G. Poliniewicz1.25911118113LSep 11 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.501511771M. Jadczyk1.1717911113LSep 11 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz2.7571112121K. Wloczko1.4011814143WSep 11 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.25511118113J. Kuzmicz1.5711551152LSep 11 · 04:10M. Miastowski1.441112113G. Poliniewicz2.6361050LSep 11 · 03:25G. Poliniewicz4.3311611762M. Olejnik1.20411911113WSep 10 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz1.70911811113K. Wisniewski1.9511511952LSep 10 · 12:35D. Kosmal2.17912116113G. Poliniewicz1.56111081172WSep 10 · 11:45F. Krcil2.44101250G. Poliniewicz1.451214113WSep 10 · 10:55G. Poliniewicz2.1814911113J. Kuzmicz1.561211891
R. Chrzescian10
WAug 9 · 13:50R. Malinowski2.10761191R. Chrzescian1.6011118113WAug 9 · 13:00B. Kwodawski2.605590R. Chrzescian1.411111113WAug 9 · 12:10R. Chrzescian1.261111113A. Myszewski3.355990WAug 9 · 10:30R. Chrzescian1.3511411113M. Trela2.80611891WAug 9 · 09:45T. Piotrowski3.4041211472R. Chrzescian1.261110511113WAug 9 · 08:30R. Malinowski2.50751191R. Chrzescian1.4611117113WAug 9 · 07:15R. Chrzescian1.8081112113R. Stapor1.901191061WAug 9 · 06:00A. Myszewski3.106550R. Chrzescian1.301111113WAug 9 · 04:50M. Trela3.201167101R. Chrzescian1.3081111123WAug 8 · 14:35R. Stapor1.9010512111R. Chrzescian1.80121110133
Upcoming Matches
G. Poliniewicz
Sep 12 · 04:25G. Poliniewicz1.16P. Maruszak4.25—Sep 12 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz1.28D. Solilo3.15—Sep 12 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz1.16R. Malinowski4.20—Sep 12 · 08:05G. Poliniewicz1.60K. Wisniewski2.10—Sep 12 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz1.18K. Rudomina4.00—Sep 12 · 10:55G. Poliniewicz1.18G. Kesik3.95—Sep 12 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz1.16R. Malinowski4.20—
R. Chrzescian
Nothing scheduled
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