TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13152947
Played Sep 18Finished
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131131311––––
Jacek Przewlocki
Away
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 68.6% is still 68.6%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mleczko to win
68.6%
68.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
1131131311––––
H2H Bartlomiej Mleczko 4–3 Jacek Przewlocki Jacek Przewlocki has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Mleczko beat Przewlocki 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (64%)
Mleczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mleczko 1443 vs Przewlocki 1294
Mleczko
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mleczko 40% vs Przewlocki 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mleczko 50% vs Przewlocki 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mleczko -3 · Przewlocki +1
Mleczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Mleczko) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMleczko 1.44 / Przewlocki 2.60
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Mleczko)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13152947
Mleczko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 107 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 93
Przewlocki2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 78 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back20% 21 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMleczko4wins
AwayPrzewlocki3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMleczko leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMleczko75%3 of 4
AwayPrzewlocki66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mleczko4Przewlocki3n = 7Mleczko took 4 of 7
S2Mleczko5Przewlocki2n = 7Mleczko took 5 of 7
S3Mleczko4Przewlocki3n = 7Mleczko took 4 of 7
S4Mleczko1Przewlocki3n = 4Przewlocki took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMleczkoPrzewlockiM − PBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match35.333.0+2.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMleczkoPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 797 vs 526 / 107952.1%48.8%415 / 797 vs 526 / 1079Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MleczkoMleczko 1.44/Przewlocki 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.6%
Mleczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mleczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 18 · 08:35B. Mleczko331111113J. Przewlocki228950
WAug 31 · 09:25B. Mleczko51111199113J. Przewlocki4478111172
LAug 31 · 06:55B. Mleczko33911581J. Przewlocki4011711113
WJan 5 · 15:35B. Mleczko4071111113J. Przewlocki28118271
LJan 5 · 04:45B. Mleczko176560J. Przewlocki331111113
WJun 25 · 09:25B. Mleczko331111113J. Przewlocki159420
LJun 25 · 05:40B. Mleczko4011911632J. Przewlocki49711911113
B. Mleczko10
LSep 18 · 12:40B. Mleczko2.00101171182B. Czerwinski1.70126118113LSep 18 · 11:25B. Mleczko2.357118111J. Zochniak1.5011711133LSep 18 · 10:10W. Gronowski2.40871111113B. Mleczko1.5011113772WSep 18 · 09:25B. Mleczko2.05811911113M. Minda1.6811811492WSep 18 · 08:35J. Przewlocki2.708950B. Mleczko1.401111113WSep 18 · 07:20B. Mleczko2.3511415143J. Zochniak1.5091113121WSep 18 · 06:05W. Gronowski2.406770B. Mleczko1.501111113LSep 18 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831111113B. Mleczko1.876790LSep 18 · 03:25B. Wisniewski3.001112123B. Mleczko1.30710100WSep 11 · 13:55R. Stapor1.878860B. Mleczko1.831111113
J. Przewlocki10
WSep 18 · 13:05W. Gronowski1.751116381J. Przewlocki1.98131411113LSep 18 · 12:15J. Przewlocki3.1010111461M. Minda1.3012916113LSep 18 · 10:35J. Przewlocki3.558117101J. Zochniak1.2511911123WSep 18 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.2871060J. Przewlocki3.401112113LSep 18 · 08:35J. Przewlocki2.708950B. Mleczko1.401111113WSep 18 · 06:55J. Przewlocki1.9512611113W. Gronowski1.671011291WSep 18 · 05:40J. Przewlocki2.50118211113R. Stapor1.4681111842WSep 18 · 04:10J. Przewlocki1.711111113B. Wisniewski2.008790LSep 18 · 03:00J. Przewlocki3.5010980J. Zochniak1.251211113LSep 14 · 14:20J. Przewlocki1.864680F. Krcil1.831111113
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