TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13148345
Played Sep 18Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117119––––
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Away
1.87
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mleczko to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
116117119––––
H2H Rafal Stapor 2–3 Bartlomiej Mleczko Rafal Stapor has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1434 vs Mleczko 1446
Mleczko
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Mleczko 40%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 50% vs Mleczko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +3 · Mleczko -1
Stapor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mleczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.83 / Mleczko 1.87
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mleczko)+4.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13148345
Stapor1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 383 of 614
Up 2–0, closes it95% 188 of 197
Up 1–0, closes it81% 289 of 359
Mleczko1.87
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 51 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeStapor2wins
AwayMleczko3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMleczko leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor66.7%2 of 3
AwayMleczkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor3Mleczko2n = 5Stapor took 3 of 5
S2Stapor1Mleczko4n = 5Mleczko took 4 of 5
S3Stapor3Mleczko2n = 5Stapor took 3 of 5
S4Stapor2Mleczko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricStaporMleczkoS − MBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match36.235.4+0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporMleczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime675 / 1194 vs 411 / 78956.5%52.1%675 / 1194 vs 411 / 789Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MleczkoStapor 1.83/Mleczko 1.87
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mleczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 11 · 13:55R. Stapor228860B. Mleczko331111113
LAug 22 · 19:20R. Stapor325101161B. Mleczko4211128113
WJul 31 · 03:40R. Stapor3911611113B. Mleczko25511541
LJul 4 · 10:55R. Stapor4511138672B. Mleczko506111111113
WJun 2 · 14:35R. Stapor43111011113B. Mleczko27512731
R. Stapor10
LSep 18 · 05:40J. Przewlocki2.50118211113R. Stapor1.4681111842WSep 18 · 03:50R. Stapor1.601111113W. Gronowski2.103970WSep 17 · 13:55W. Suchecki2.8516711101R. Stapor1.3418118123WSep 17 · 13:05F. Krcil1.917710R. Stapor1.741111113LSep 17 · 12:15R. Stapor2.1511116632D. Kosmal1.64981111113LSep 17 · 10:35R. Stapor2.20713101272M. Minda1.6011111210113LSep 17 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.44111011113R. Stapor2.47912681WSep 17 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.858714101R. Stapor1.34111112123WSep 17 · 07:20R. Stapor1.40111197113B. Wisniewski2.6039111182LSep 17 · 06:05K. Klocek2.19712118113R. Stapor1.61111061192
B. Mleczko10
LSep 18 · 03:25B. Wisniewski3.001112123B. Mleczko1.30710100WSep 11 · 13:55R. Stapor1.878860B. Mleczko1.831111113LSep 11 · 13:05B. Sulkowski1.8591113113B. Mleczko1.851151171WSep 11 · 12:15B. Mleczko1.6912111111143M. Zagajewski1.96147713122LSep 11 · 10:35B. Mleczko2.1541191192B. Czerwinski1.63117114113LSep 11 · 09:50M. Misiak1.95116411133B. Mleczko1.74911117112LSep 11 · 08:30D. Solilo1.601111113B. Mleczko2.106770WSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.8361111113A. Linek1.86118971WSep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski1.9311911562B. Mleczko1.78711911113LSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.2811128113B. Mleczko3.157101181
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
B. Mleczko
Sep 18 · 06:05B. Mleczko1.50W. Gronowski2.40—Sep 18 · 07:20B. Mleczko2.35J. Zochniak1.50—Sep 18 · 08:35B. Mleczko1.40J. Przewlocki2.75—Sep 18 · 09:25B. Mleczko2.05M. Minda1.66—Sep 18 · 10:10B. Mleczko1.50W. Gronowski2.40—Sep 18 · 11:25B. Mleczko2.35J. Zochniak1.50—Sep 18 · 12:40B. Mleczko2.26B. Czerwinski1.45—
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