TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141224
Played Sep 17Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711131110121210711
Michal Minda
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
104 points played in total.
Set by set
711131110121210711
H2H Rafal Stapor 15–15 Michal Minda Dead even across their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-15 in 30
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1422 vs Minda 1443
Minda
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Minda 20%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 50% vs Minda 30%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Minda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 2.20 / Minda 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Minda)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13141224
Stapor2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 101 of 277
Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 103
Minda1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 267 of 428
Up 2–0, closes it97% 112 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it81% 202 of 249
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor4wins
AwayMinda6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMinda leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaporn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMinda62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor2Minda8n = 10Minda took 8 of 10
S2Stapor4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S3Stapor4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S4Stapor5Minda3n = 8Stapor took 5 of 8
S5Stapor2Minda1n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporMindaS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.739.7−3.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime672 / 1189 vs 1014 / 197956.5%51.2%672 / 1189 vs 1014 / 1979Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaStapor 2.20/Minda 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.9%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 03:00R. Stapor52991112113M. Minda46111171072
LAug 26 · 12:15R. Stapor27291151M. Minda4111118113
LAug 21 · 11:00R. Stapor34811691M. Minda3811511113
LAug 20 · 09:00R. Stapor202990M. Minda331111113
WAug 13 · 05:30R. Stapor46412811113M. Minda46111011592
LAug 12 · 04:50R. Stapor43111161142M. Minda45313117113
LAug 8 · 09:00R. Stapor2010460M. Minda341211113
WAug 7 · 04:50R. Stapor4391112113M. Minda321181031
WAug 6 · 06:25R. Stapor4312146113M. Minda3710121141
LAug 3 · 08:05R. Stapor396811141M. Minda4511117163
R. Stapor10
LSep 17 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.44111011113R. Stapor2.47912681WSep 17 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.858714101R. Stapor1.34111112123WSep 17 · 07:20R. Stapor1.40111197113B. Wisniewski2.6039111182LSep 17 · 06:05K. Klocek2.19712118113R. Stapor1.61111061192LSep 17 · 04:55F. Krcil1.80118611113R. Stapor1.9041111512LSep 17 · 03:25B. Czerwinski1.571111113R. Stapor2.207960WSep 16 · 13:55R. Stapor1.5781111113A. Myszewski2.15118621WSep 16 · 12:40R. Stapor2.301111113B. Czerwinski1.527980LSep 16 · 11:25R. Stapor1.5061221142M. Zwolinski2.351110119113WSep 16 · 10:10A. Szoltysek2.46119771R. Stapor1.4441111113
M. Minda10
WSep 17 · 11:25W. Suchecki3.604890M. Minda1.221111113WSep 17 · 09:00F. Krcil2.2012119452M. Minda1.621041111113LSep 16 · 20:05M. Minda2.754960M. Rutkowski1.401111113LSep 16 · 18:30B. Sulkowski1.83116711113M. Minda1.8341111672LSep 16 · 17:40D. Solilo1.73111192113M. Minda2.0077111172LSep 16 · 16:55M. Minda1.918650M. Kolek1.801111113LSep 16 · 15:45M. Minda1.7376100J. Zochniak2.001111123WSep 9 · 14:20M. Minda1.351115113A. Szoltysek2.7591390WSep 9 · 12:40M. Zwolinski3.909101161M. Minda1.1911129113LSep 9 · 11:50A. Lilien2.00151113113M. Minda1.7013131171
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.