TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138691
Played Sep 16Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
2.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Bartosz Czerwinski
Away
1.52
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:17 and never touched — 72.1% is still 72.1%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
72.1%
72.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
117119118––––
H2H Rafal Stapor 0–9 Bartosz Czerwinski Rafal Stapor has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (60%)
Czerwinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-9 in 9
Czerwinski
Wrong
gap of 9 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1435 vs Czerwinski 1528
Czerwinski
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Czerwinski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 70% vs Czerwinski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Czerwinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Czerwinski) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 2.30 / Czerwinski 1.52
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Czerwinski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13138691
Stapor2.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 99 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 102
Czerwinski1.52
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 85 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 60 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeStapor0wins
AwayCzerwinski9wins
6 of 9 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 9–0, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor0%0 of 5
AwayCzerwinski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor5Czerwinski4n = 9Stapor took 5 of 9
S2Stapor2Czerwinski7n = 9Czerwinski took 7 of 9
S3Stapor4Czerwinski5n = 9Czerwinski took 5 of 9
S4Stapor3Czerwinski5n = 8Czerwinski took 5 of 8
S5Stapor0Czerwinski6n = 6Czerwinski took 6 of 6
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away667%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricStaporCzerwinskiS − CBasisWins09−9in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match40.042.8−2.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime668 / 1181 vs 494 / 104856.6%47.1%668 / 1181 vs 494 / 1048Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiStapor 2.30/Czerwinski 1.52
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.6%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 14 · 04:30R. Stapor341041191B. Czerwinski4212118113
LSep 11 · 11:25R. Stapor248970B. Czerwinski331111113
LSep 9 · 07:15R. Stapor341141181B. Czerwinski3941113113
LSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor50118111192B. Czerwinski49611813113
LJun 23 · 07:15R. Stapor4581181172B. Czerwinski40113114113
LJun 23 · 04:50R. Stapor4511117882B. Czerwinski44921111113
LJun 22 · 07:15R. Stapor3711811432B. Czerwinski45711511113
LJun 22 · 04:50R. Stapor4611781192B. Czerwinski49811118113
LJun 10 · 05:15R. Stapor4596111182B. Czerwinski44111174113
R. Stapor10
LSep 16 · 11:25R. Stapor1.5061221142M. Zwolinski2.351110119113WSep 16 · 10:10A. Szoltysek2.46119771R. Stapor1.4441111113WSep 16 · 09:25R. Stapor2.60111147113J. Zochniak1.4195111152WSep 16 · 08:35R. Stapor1.7011611113A. Myszewski2.00811881LSep 16 · 06:55R. Stapor1.4512811101M. Zwolinski2.5014117123LSep 16 · 05:40R. Stapor1.50111199102A. Szoltysek2.40991111123WSep 16 · 04:10R. Stapor1.9891111113J. Glanowski1.73118861WSep 16 · 03:00R. Stapor1.701112113K. Klocek2.0031080WSep 15 · 08:35W. Iwasyszyn2.4661131142R. Stapor1.44119117113WSep 15 · 07:20R. Stapor1.721111113K. Klocek2.006890
B. Czerwinski10
WSep 16 · 11:50A. Szoltysek3.158750B. Czerwinski1.301111113LSep 16 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.9110111014112J. Zochniak1.801291212133LSep 16 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.38711119112A. Myszewski2.80118911133WSep 15 · 14:20B. Czerwinski1.9511912113K. Rudomina1.755111041WSep 15 · 12:40W. Iwasyszyn3.10118101142B. Czerwinski1.30611128113WSep 15 · 11:50A. Sobel2.0099110B. Czerwinski1.711111133LSep 15 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.8591281192J. Witkowski1.851110118113WSep 15 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.9011711113J. Zochniak1.76611891LSep 14 · 08:10F. Krcil3.101111113B. Czerwinski1.305690WSep 14 · 07:20J. Przewlocki3.35911711132B. Czerwinski1.23118118153
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