TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138128
Played Sep 16Finished
Artur Szoltysek
Home
2.46
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114911711711––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:26 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
114911711711––
H2H Artur Szoltysek 2–3 Rafal Stapor Artur Szoltysek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szoltysek 1262 vs Stapor 1446
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szoltysek 60% vs Stapor 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szoltysek 30% vs Stapor 70%
Stapor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szoltysek +1 · Stapor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szoltysek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzoltysek 2.46 / Stapor 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Stapor)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13138128
Szoltysek2.46
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog39% won 55 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Stapor1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 380 of 608
Up 2–0, closes it96% 188 of 196
Up 1–0, closes it81% 288 of 357
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSzoltysek2wins
AwayStapor3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderStapor leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzoltysekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayStapor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szoltysek1Stapor4n = 5Stapor took 4 of 5
S2Szoltysek2Stapor3n = 5Stapor took 3 of 5
S3Szoltysek2Stapor3n = 5Stapor took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricSzoltysekStaporSzoltysek − StaporBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match35.237.0−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzoltysekStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 570 vs 667 / 117942.5%56.6%242 / 570 vs 667 / 1179Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporSzoltysek 2.46/Stapor 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 16 · 05:40A. Szoltysek52991111123R. Stapor50111199102
LAug 19 · 12:15A. Szoltysek46111171162R. Stapor50137118113
WApr 18 · 03:00A. Szoltysek331111113R. Stapor196760
LMar 1 · 12:00A. Szoltysek249690R. Stapor331111113
LMar 1 · 05:55A. Szoltysek218670R. Stapor331111113
A. Szoltysek10
LSep 16 · 13:05A. Szoltysek2.01116391A. Myszewski1.6681111113LSep 16 · 11:50A. Szoltysek3.158750B. Czerwinski1.301111113WSep 16 · 09:00A. Szoltysek1.701112118113M. Zwolinski2.0561451192LSep 16 · 08:10A. Szoltysek2.01981171K. Klocek1.6611118113LSep 16 · 06:30J. Glanowski1.36139112113A. Szoltysek2.75111171182WSep 16 · 05:40R. Stapor1.50111199102A. Szoltysek2.40991111123WSep 16 · 04:55A. Szoltysek2.01811118113A. Myszewski1.6611951172LSep 16 · 03:50A. Szoltysek1.60891181M. Zwolinski2.1511116113LSep 9 · 14:20M. Minda1.351115113A. Szoltysek2.7591390LSep 9 · 13:30P. Blocho1.38111111113A. Szoltysek2.65351371
R. Stapor10
WSep 16 · 12:40R. Stapor2.301111113B. Czerwinski1.527980LSep 16 · 11:25R. Stapor1.5061221142M. Zwolinski2.351110119113WSep 16 · 09:25R. Stapor2.60111147113J. Zochniak1.4195111152WSep 16 · 08:35R. Stapor1.7011611113A. Myszewski2.00811881LSep 16 · 06:55R. Stapor1.4512811101M. Zwolinski2.5014117123LSep 16 · 05:40R. Stapor1.50111199102A. Szoltysek2.40991111123WSep 16 · 04:10R. Stapor1.9891111113J. Glanowski1.73118861WSep 16 · 03:00R. Stapor1.701112113K. Klocek2.0031080WSep 15 · 08:35W. Iwasyszyn2.4661131142R. Stapor1.44119117113WSep 15 · 07:20R. Stapor1.721111113K. Klocek2.006890
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.