TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13144407
Played Sep 17Finished
Frantisek Krcil
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711111––––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.74
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:23 and never touched — 65.4% is still 65.4%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
65.4%
65.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
711711111––––
H2H Frantisek Krcil 1–2 Rafal Stapor Frantisek Krcil has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (52%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1369 vs Stapor 1411
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 0% vs Stapor 40%
Stapor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 40% vs Stapor 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil -5 · Stapor -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 1.91 / Stapor 1.74
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Stapor)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13144407
Krcil1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog20% won 3 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Stapor1.74
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 383 of 614
Up 2–0, closes it95% 188 of 197
Up 1–0, closes it81% 289 of 359
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKrcil1wins
AwayStapor2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderStapor leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krcil1Stapor2n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
S2Krcil2Stapor1n = 3Krcil took 2 of 3
S3Krcil1Stapor2n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
S4Krcil1Stapor2n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKrcilStaporK − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.740.0+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 409 vs 673 / 119244.7%56.5%183 / 409 vs 673 / 1192Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporKrcil 1.91/Stapor 1.74
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 17 · 04:55F. Krcil47118611113R. Stapor3241111512
LSep 14 · 03:50F. Krcil345111171R. Stapor4311813113
LSep 10 · 08:05F. Krcil50811121092R. Stapor451111012113
F. Krcil10
LSep 17 · 14:40F. Krcil3.106760D. Kosmal1.321111113LSep 17 · 11:50F. Krcil2.6511991182J. Zochniak1.38811119113LSep 17 · 10:10F. Krcil1.848620W. Suchecki1.871111113LSep 17 · 09:00F. Krcil2.2012119452M. Minda1.621041111113LSep 17 · 08:10F. Krcil1.4311471182B. Wisniewski2.50911115113LSep 17 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.45911118113F. Krcil2.5611631172WSep 17 · 05:40W. Suchecki2.752680F. Krcil1.371111113WSep 17 · 04:55F. Krcil1.80118611113R. Stapor1.9041111512WSep 17 · 03:50F. Krcil1.95111178113K. Klocek1.7587111172WSep 14 · 14:20J. Przewlocki1.864680F. Krcil1.831111113
R. Stapor10
WSep 17 · 13:55W. Suchecki2.8516711101R. Stapor1.3418118123LSep 17 · 12:15R. Stapor2.1511116632D. Kosmal1.64981111113LSep 17 · 10:35R. Stapor2.20713101272M. Minda1.6011111210113LSep 17 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.44111011113R. Stapor2.47912681WSep 17 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.858714101R. Stapor1.34111112123WSep 17 · 07:20R. Stapor1.40111197113B. Wisniewski2.6039111182LSep 17 · 06:05K. Klocek2.19712118113R. Stapor1.61111061192LSep 17 · 04:55F. Krcil1.80118611113R. Stapor1.9041111512LSep 17 · 03:25B. Czerwinski1.571111113R. Stapor2.207960WSep 16 · 13:55R. Stapor1.5781111113A. Myszewski2.15118621
Upcoming Matches
F. Krcil
Nothing scheduled
R. Stapor
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