TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141219
Played Sep 17Finished
Frantisek Krcil
Home
2.65
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118911911119811
Jakub Zochniak
Away
1.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
118911911119811
H2H Frantisek Krcil 5–4 Jakub Zochniak Jakub Zochniak has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (66%)
Zochniak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1374 vs Zochniak 1615
Zochniak
Correct
both rated, 242 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 20% vs Zochniak 60%
Zochniak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 40% vs Zochniak 70%
Zochniak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil -4 · Zochniak -1
Krcil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Zochniak) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (60%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 2.65 / Zochniak 1.38
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Zochniak)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13141219
Krcil2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog20% won 3 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Zochniak1.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 303 of 464
Up 2–0, closes it94% 142 of 151
Up 1–0, closes it77% 225 of 292
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKrcil5wins
AwayZochniak4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderKrcil leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrcil75%3 of 4
AwayZochniak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krcil4Zochniak5n = 9Zochniak took 5 of 9
S2Krcil6Zochniak3n = 9Krcil took 6 of 9
S3Krcil7Zochniak2n = 9Krcil took 7 of 9
S4Krcil3Zochniak2n = 5Krcil took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKrcilZochniakK − ZBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match35.831.8+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 408 vs 1159 / 221444.9%52.4%183 / 408 vs 1159 / 2214Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZochniakKrcil 2.65/Zochniak 1.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.2%
Zochniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zochniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WFeb 24 · 10:50F. Krcil341211113J. Zochniak2210930
LOct 23 · 20:35F. Krcil4069111132J. Zochniak50111198113
WSep 23 · 03:50F. Krcil331111113J. Zochniak154650
WAug 24 · 14:45F. Krcil4181111113J. Zochniak31115691
LJun 12 · 12:15F. Krcil2348110J. Zochniak351111133
LApr 29 · 04:30F. Krcil35119691J. Zochniak3851111113
LFeb 18 · 09:10F. Krcil4121211882J. Zochniak471110411113
WFeb 14 · 06:00F. Krcil4291111113J. Zochniak31116591
WDec 6 · 06:55F. Krcil331111113J. Zochniak177730
F. Krcil10
LSep 17 · 10:10F. Krcil1.848620W. Suchecki1.871111113LSep 17 · 09:00F. Krcil2.2012119452M. Minda1.621041111113LSep 17 · 08:10F. Krcil1.4311471182B. Wisniewski2.50911115113LSep 17 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.45911118113F. Krcil2.5611631172WSep 17 · 05:40W. Suchecki2.752680F. Krcil1.371111113WSep 17 · 04:55F. Krcil1.80118611113R. Stapor1.9041111512WSep 17 · 03:50F. Krcil1.95111178113K. Klocek1.7587111172WSep 14 · 14:20J. Przewlocki1.864680F. Krcil1.831111113LSep 14 · 13:30J. Glanowski1.4091111113F. Krcil2.70118771LSep 14 · 11:25W. Iwasyszyn1.901113511113F. Krcil1.8051511862
J. Zochniak10
WSep 17 · 12:40W. Suchecki4.207140J. Zochniak1.161111113LSep 17 · 11:00J. Zochniak2.25711561D. Kosmal1.5711711113WSep 17 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.44111011113R. Stapor2.47912681LSep 16 · 19:40B. Sulkowski2.101471111113J. Zochniak1.67121113992WSep 16 · 18:50D. Solilo1.83814531J. Zochniak1.83111211113WSep 16 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.2561113163M. Kolek1.5711711141LSep 16 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.50771261M. Rutkowski1.50111110113WSep 16 · 15:45M. Minda1.7376100J. Zochniak2.001111123WSep 16 · 14:40A. Szoltysek3.6598100J. Zochniak1.211111123WSep 16 · 13:30J. Zochniak1.151111113M. Zwolinski4.407990
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