TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141221
Played Sep 17Finished
Jakub Zochniak
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711117511611––
Dawid Kosmal
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
711117511611––
H2H Jakub Zochniak 13–10 Dawid Kosmal Dawid Kosmal has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-10 in 23
Zochniak
Wrong
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zochniak 1629 vs Kosmal 1602
Zochniak
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zochniak 60% vs Kosmal 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zochniak 80% vs Kosmal 40%
Zochniak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zochniak +1 · Kosmal +3
Kosmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZochniak 2.25 / Kosmal 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kosmal)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13141221
Zochniak2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 140 of 413
Down 0–1, comes back13% 31 of 234
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 125
Kosmal1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 154 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it95% 82 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it84% 124 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZochniak5wins
AwayKosmal5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZochniak100%4 of 4
AwayKosmal83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zochniak4Kosmal6n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S2Zochniak2Kosmal8n = 10Kosmal took 8 of 10
S3Zochniak7Kosmal3n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S4Zochniak3Kosmal5n = 8Kosmal took 5 of 8
S5Zochniak3Kosmal1n = 4Zochniak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZochniakKosmalZ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.039.1−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZochniakKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime1159 / 2213 vs 354 / 66352.4%53.4%1159 / 2213 vs 354 / 663Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalZochniak 2.25/Kosmal 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 05:15J. Zochniak3961111113D. Kosmal31118841
WAug 28 · 08:05J. Zochniak53149118113D. Kosmal52121191192
WAug 19 · 04:00J. Zochniak49119117113D. Kosmal4281161162
WAug 18 · 05:35J. Zochniak4211911113D. Kosmal30511591
LAug 11 · 12:15J. Zochniak165380D. Kosmal331111113
WAug 11 · 03:20J. Zochniak47111177113D. Kosmal4396111162
LAug 10 · 13:30J. Zochniak4588111172D. Kosmal50111189113
LAug 5 · 05:35J. Zochniak24541141D. Kosmal4111118113
LAug 4 · 03:00J. Zochniak238780D. Kosmal331111113
LJul 15 · 13:55J. Zochniak32961161D. Kosmal3611113113
J. Zochniak10
WSep 17 · 11:50F. Krcil2.6511991182J. Zochniak1.38811119113WSep 17 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.44111011113R. Stapor2.47912681LSep 16 · 19:40B. Sulkowski2.101471111113J. Zochniak1.67121113992WSep 16 · 18:50D. Solilo1.83814531J. Zochniak1.83111211113WSep 16 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.2561113163M. Kolek1.5711711141LSep 16 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.50771261M. Rutkowski1.50111110113WSep 16 · 15:45M. Minda1.7376100J. Zochniak2.001111123WSep 16 · 14:40A. Szoltysek3.6598100J. Zochniak1.211111123WSep 16 · 13:30J. Zochniak1.151111113M. Zwolinski4.407990WSep 16 · 12:15A. Myszewski3.2589120J. Zochniak1.261111143
D. Kosmal10
WSep 17 · 09:25W. Suchecki5.354440D. Kosmal1.101111113WSep 17 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.8751111552D. Kosmal1.83117711113WSep 17 · 06:50K. Kapik1.851081171D. Kosmal1.8512113113LSep 17 · 06:00D. Kosmal1.708880M. Olbrycht2.001111113LSep 17 · 04:25D. Kosmal2.297870P. Jendrzejewski1.511111113LSep 17 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz1.301111113D. Kosmal3.057450LSep 16 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.57101311123D. Kosmal2.2512118101WSep 16 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.65981111112D. Kosmal2.10111155133LSep 16 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz1.651111710113D. Kosmal2.1066111252LSep 16 · 10:30K. Kapik1.571111113D. Kosmal2.169630
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