TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13144623
Played Sep 17Finished
Frantisek Krcil
Home
3.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711611––––
Dawid Kosmal
Away
1.32
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:12 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
611711611––––
H2H Frantisek Krcil 1–7 Dawid Kosmal Frantisek Krcil has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (70%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Kosmal
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1369 vs Kosmal 1627
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 258 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 0% vs Kosmal 100%
Kosmal
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 40% vs Kosmal 60%
Kosmal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil -5 · Kosmal +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 3.10 / Kosmal 1.32
Signal prob.26% / 75%
Edge (Kosmal)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13144623
Krcil3.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog20% won 3 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Kosmal1.32
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 154 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it95% 82 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it84% 124 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKrcil1wins
AwayKosmal7wins
2 of 8 to a deciderKosmal leads 7–1, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrciln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKosmal85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krcil1Kosmal7n = 8Kosmal took 7 of 8
S2Krcil3Kosmal5n = 8Kosmal took 5 of 8
S3Krcil4Kosmal4n = 8split evenly
S4Krcil0Kosmal6n = 6Kosmal took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricKrcilKosmalKrcil − KosmalBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match34.240.4−6.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 409 vs 357 / 66644.7%53.6%183 / 409 vs 357 / 666Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKrcil 3.10/Kosmal 1.32
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.5%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 10 · 10:05F. Krcil41114111052D. Kosmal45311812113
LSep 10 · 05:55F. Krcil2510870D. Kosmal341211113
LFeb 24 · 13:15F. Krcil344119101D. Kosmal4111711123
LFeb 10 · 14:55F. Krcil227780D. Kosmal331111113
LOct 26 · 12:55F. Krcil30561181D. Kosmal4111118113
LAug 24 · 12:20F. Krcil30711751D. Kosmal3911611113
LAug 9 · 12:20F. Krcil4010121171D. Kosmal4112144113
WJul 19 · 13:10F. Krcil529111110113D. Kosmal4911991282
F. Krcil10
LSep 17 · 13:05F. Krcil1.917710R. Stapor1.741111113LSep 17 · 11:50F. Krcil2.6511991182J. Zochniak1.38811119113LSep 17 · 10:10F. Krcil1.848620W. Suchecki1.871111113LSep 17 · 09:00F. Krcil2.2012119452M. Minda1.621041111113LSep 17 · 08:10F. Krcil1.4311471182B. Wisniewski2.50911115113LSep 17 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.45911118113F. Krcil2.5611631172WSep 17 · 05:40W. Suchecki2.752680F. Krcil1.371111113WSep 17 · 04:55F. Krcil1.80118611113R. Stapor1.9041111512WSep 17 · 03:50F. Krcil1.95111178113K. Klocek1.7587111172WSep 14 · 14:20J. Przewlocki1.864680F. Krcil1.831111113
D. Kosmal10
WSep 17 · 13:30D. Kosmal1.8161111113M. Minda1.90114481WSep 17 · 12:15R. Stapor2.1511116632D. Kosmal1.64981111113WSep 17 · 11:00J. Zochniak2.25711561D. Kosmal1.5711711113WSep 17 · 09:25W. Suchecki5.354440D. Kosmal1.101111113WSep 17 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.8751111552D. Kosmal1.83117711113WSep 17 · 06:50K. Kapik1.851081171D. Kosmal1.8512113113LSep 17 · 06:00D. Kosmal1.708880M. Olbrycht2.001111113LSep 17 · 04:25D. Kosmal2.297870P. Jendrzejewski1.511111113LSep 17 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz1.301111113D. Kosmal3.057450LSep 16 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.57101311123D. Kosmal2.2512118101
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