TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13144400
Played Sep 17Finished
Waclaw Suchecki
Home
2.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
16187111181012––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.34
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:22 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
16187111181012––
H2H Waclaw Suchecki 0–1 Rafal Stapor Waclaw Suchecki has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Stapor beat Suchecki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.34 (68%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Suchecki 1187 vs Stapor 1406
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 219 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Suchecki 20% vs Stapor 40%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Suchecki 10% vs Stapor 40%
Stapor
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Suchecki -2 · Stapor -3
Stapor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSuchecki 2.85 / Stapor 1.34
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Stapor)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13144400
Suchecki2.85
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 30 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back22% 9 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Stapor1.34
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 383 of 614
Up 2–0, closes it95% 188 of 197
Up 1–0, closes it81% 289 of 359
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSuchecki0wins
AwayStapor1wins
Stapor leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSucheckiStaporSuchecki − StaporBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.046.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSucheckiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 312 vs 672 / 119137.2%56.4%116 / 312 vs 672 / 1191Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporSuchecki 2.85/Stapor 1.34
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 17 · 08:35W. Suchecki398714101R. Stapor46111112123
W. Suchecki10
LSep 17 · 12:40W. Suchecki4.207140J. Zochniak1.161111113LSep 17 · 11:25W. Suchecki3.604890M. Minda1.221111113WSep 17 · 10:10F. Krcil1.848620W. Suchecki1.871111113LSep 17 · 09:25W. Suchecki5.354440D. Kosmal1.101111113LSep 17 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.858714101R. Stapor1.34111112123LSep 17 · 06:55W. Suchecki2.26831181K. Klocek1.5811118113LSep 17 · 05:40W. Suchecki2.752680F. Krcil1.371111113LSep 17 · 04:10W. Suchecki4.05119581B. Czerwinski1.1871111113LSep 17 · 03:00W. Suchecki1.92119881B. Wisniewski1.7271111113LSep 5 · 13:55J. Rolak1.591111113W. Suchecki2.176750
R. Stapor10
WSep 17 · 13:05F. Krcil1.917710R. Stapor1.741111113LSep 17 · 12:15R. Stapor2.1511116632D. Kosmal1.64981111113LSep 17 · 10:35R. Stapor2.20713101272M. Minda1.6011111210113LSep 17 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.44111011113R. Stapor2.47912681WSep 17 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.858714101R. Stapor1.34111112123WSep 17 · 07:20R. Stapor1.40111197113B. Wisniewski2.6039111182LSep 17 · 06:05K. Klocek2.19712118113R. Stapor1.61111061192LSep 17 · 04:55F. Krcil1.80118611113R. Stapor1.9041111512LSep 17 · 03:25B. Czerwinski1.571111113R. Stapor2.207960WSep 16 · 13:55R. Stapor1.5781111113A. Myszewski2.15118621
Upcoming Matches
W. Suchecki
Nothing scheduled
R. Stapor
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