TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147239
Played Sep 18Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119117––––
Wojciech Gronowski
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
113119117––––
H2H Rafal Stapor 2–0 Wojciech Gronowski Wojciech Gronowski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1424 vs Gronowski 1291
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Gronowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 40% vs Gronowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +2 · Gronowski -3
Gronowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.60 / Gronowski 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Stapor)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13147239
Stapor1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 383 of 614
Up 2–0, closes it95% 188 of 197
Up 1–0, closes it81% 289 of 359
Gronowski2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog37% won 71 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStapor2wins
AwayGronowski0wins
Stapor leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStaporGronowskiS − GBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.031.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporGronowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime674 / 1193 vs 483 / 110856.5%43.6%674 / 1193 vs 483 / 1108Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.60/Gronowski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 7 · 08:45R. Stapor4311811133W. Gronowski345117111
WApr 18 · 10:55R. Stapor43111110113W. Gronowski28641261
R. Stapor10
WSep 18 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831111113B. Mleczko1.876790WSep 17 · 13:55W. Suchecki2.8516711101R. Stapor1.3418118123WSep 17 · 13:05F. Krcil1.917710R. Stapor1.741111113LSep 17 · 12:15R. Stapor2.1511116632D. Kosmal1.64981111113LSep 17 · 10:35R. Stapor2.20713101272M. Minda1.6011111210113LSep 17 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.44111011113R. Stapor2.47912681WSep 17 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.858714101R. Stapor1.34111112123WSep 17 · 07:20R. Stapor1.40111197113B. Wisniewski2.6039111182LSep 17 · 06:05K. Klocek2.19712118113R. Stapor1.61111061192LSep 17 · 04:55F. Krcil1.80118611113R. Stapor1.9041111512
W. Gronowski10
LSep 18 · 04:30W. Gronowski3.2511960J. Zochniak1.301311113LSep 5 · 07:40W. Gronowski2.0091111882J. Przewlocki1.71115911113LSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113LSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113WSep 5 · 04:00K. Klocek1.857101131W. Gronowski1.8511127113WSep 5 · 03:20W. Gronowski1.9511118113J. Wozniak1.75761181LSep 4 · 14:20M. Minda1.5511711123W. Gronowski2.307117101LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lilien1.54111111113W. Gronowski2.25139971WSep 4 · 11:25A. Myszewski2.101091261W. Gronowski1.60121110113LSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772
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