TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13150119
Played Sep 18Finished
Wojciech Gronowski
Home
2.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811711113117117
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:11 and never touched — 65.9% is still 65.9%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mleczko to win
65.9%
65.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
811711113117117
H2H Wojciech Gronowski 11–15 Bartlomiej Mleczko Wojciech Gronowski has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Mleczko beat Gronowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:11What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Mleczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Mleczko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gronowski 1264 vs Mleczko 1476
Mleczko
Wrong
both rated, 213 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gronowski 20% vs Mleczko 80%
Mleczko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gronowski 20% vs Mleczko 60%
Mleczko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gronowski -1 · Mleczko +4
Mleczko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Mleczko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGronowski 2.40 / Mleczko 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Mleczko)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13150119
Gronowski2.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 71 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Mleczko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 107 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGronowski5wins
AwayMleczko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGronowski80%4 of 5
AwayMleczko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gronowski5Mleczko5n = 10split evenly
S2Gronowski4Mleczko6n = 10Mleczko took 6 of 10
S3Gronowski2Mleczko8n = 10Mleczko took 8 of 10
S4Gronowski3Mleczko4n = 7Mleczko took 4 of 7
S5Gronowski4Mleczko0n = 4Gronowski took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGronowskiMleczkoG − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.7−2.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGronowskiMleczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 1109 vs 415 / 79443.4%52.3%481 / 1109 vs 415 / 794Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MleczkoGronowski 2.40/Mleczko 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.7%
Mleczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gronowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 06:05W. Gronowski206770B. Mleczko331111113
LJul 12 · 24:35W. Gronowski3091380B. Mleczko371115113
WJul 11 · 22:10W. Gronowski511110811113B. Mleczko4981211992
LJul 11 · 20:05W. Gronowski321061151B. Mleczko4012116113
LJun 13 · 10:40W. Gronowski30115771B. Mleczko4181111113
WMay 30 · 09:30W. Gronowski55179711113B. Mleczko53151111882
WMay 30 · 05:00W. Gronowski55121589113B. Mleczko541013111192
LMay 10 · 18:35W. Gronowski361011781B. Mleczko3912511113
WMay 10 · 14:45W. Gronowski511211611113B. Mleczko4414811562
WMar 14 · 04:55W. Gronowski331111113B. Mleczko279990
W. Gronowski10
LSep 18 · 09:00W. Gronowski3.2597111252J. Zochniak1.301111910113WSep 18 · 07:40B. Wisniewski2.1066120W. Gronowski1.601111143LSep 18 · 06:55J. Przewlocki1.9512611113W. Gronowski1.671011291LSep 18 · 06:05W. Gronowski2.406770B. Mleczko1.501111113LSep 18 · 04:30W. Gronowski3.2511960J. Zochniak1.301311113LSep 18 · 03:50R. Stapor1.601111113W. Gronowski2.103970LSep 5 · 07:40W. Gronowski2.0091111882J. Przewlocki1.71115911113LSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113LSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113WSep 5 · 04:00K. Klocek1.857101131W. Gronowski1.8511127113
B. Mleczko10
WSep 18 · 09:25B. Mleczko2.05811911113M. Minda1.6811811492WSep 18 · 08:35J. Przewlocki2.708950B. Mleczko1.401111113WSep 18 · 07:20B. Mleczko2.3511415143J. Zochniak1.5091113121WSep 18 · 06:05W. Gronowski2.406770B. Mleczko1.501111113LSep 18 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831111113B. Mleczko1.876790LSep 18 · 03:25B. Wisniewski3.001112123B. Mleczko1.30710100WSep 11 · 13:55R. Stapor1.878860B. Mleczko1.831111113LSep 11 · 13:05B. Sulkowski1.8591113113B. Mleczko1.851151171WSep 11 · 12:15B. Mleczko1.6912111111143M. Zagajewski1.96147713122LSep 11 · 10:35B. Mleczko2.1541191192B. Czerwinski1.63117114113
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