TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13150126
Played Sep 18Finished
Wojciech Gronowski
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9117111191210511
Jakub Zochniak
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:11 and never touched — 74.6% is still 74.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
74.6%
74.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
9117111191210511
H2H Wojciech Gronowski 16–21 Jakub Zochniak Wojciech Gronowski has won 16 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Zochniak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-21 in 37
Zochniak
Correct
gap of 5 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gronowski 1270 vs Zochniak 1579
Zochniak
Correct
both rated, 309 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gronowski 20% vs Zochniak 60%
Zochniak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gronowski 30% vs Zochniak 60%
Zochniak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gronowski +1 · Zochniak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Zochniak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGronowski 3.25 / Zochniak 1.30
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Zochniak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13150126
Gronowski3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 71 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Zochniak1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 303 of 464
Up 2–0, closes it94% 142 of 151
Up 1–0, closes it77% 225 of 292
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGronowski3wins
AwayZochniak7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZochniak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGronowski60%3 of 5
AwayZochniak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gronowski5Zochniak5n = 10split evenly
S2Gronowski3Zochniak7n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S3Gronowski1Zochniak9n = 10Zochniak took 9 of 10
S4Gronowski3Zochniak4n = 7Zochniak took 4 of 7
S5Gronowski2Zochniak1n = 3Gronowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGronowskiZochniakG − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.840.7−4.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGronowskiZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 1108 vs 1162 / 221443.4%52.5%481 / 1108 vs 1162 / 2214Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZochniakGronowski 3.25/Zochniak 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.6%
Zochniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zochniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 04:30W. Gronowski2611960J. Zochniak351311113
WJul 13 · 01:00W. Gronowski4211117133J. Zochniak367711111
LJul 12 · 22:35W. Gronowski25510100J. Zochniak351112123
LMay 31 · 10:55W. Gronowski226880J. Zochniak331111113
WMay 24 · 11:30W. Gronowski561181411123J. Zochniak48411167102
WMay 23 · 09:45W. Gronowski47111186113J. Zochniak4589111162
LMay 22 · 11:25W. Gronowski31115691J. Zochniak4291111113
LMay 22 · 03:00W. Gronowski341061171J. Zochniak4012116113
LMay 10 · 20:10W. Gronowski48119111162J. Zochniak52811139113
LApr 5 · 15:55W. Gronowski27311491J. Zochniak4111811113
W. Gronowski10
LSep 19 · 12:10R. Chrzescian1.3551111123W. Gronowski2.851195101WSep 19 · 10:55M. Minda1.5041161592W. Gronowski2.351171113113LSep 19 · 09:20B. Mleczko1.501111113W. Gronowski2.358480LSep 19 · 07:40W. Gronowski1.908111191I. Dabrowski1.7511813113LSep 19 · 06:25W. Gronowski1.7011210101D. Poloszczanski1.9571112123LSep 19 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.88612631D. Wrobel1.82111011113WSep 19 · 04:00M. Minda1.5551171142W. Gronowski2.30116119113WSep 19 · 03:20W. Gronowski2.15611611113B. Mleczko1.6011611852LSep 18 · 14:40W. Gronowski2.30711881M. Minda1.5211311113LSep 18 · 13:05W. Gronowski1.751116381J. Przewlocki1.98131411113
J. Zochniak10
LSep 18 · 14:20B. Czerwinski1.90119116113J. Zochniak1.7671191172LSep 18 · 13:30M. Minda2.201111119143J. Zochniak1.60513811122WSep 18 · 11:25B. Mleczko2.357118111J. Zochniak1.5011711133WSep 18 · 10:35J. Przewlocki3.558117101J. Zochniak1.2511911123LSep 18 · 08:10R. Stapor2.60117112113J. Zochniak1.4491181152LSep 18 · 07:20B. Mleczko2.3511415143J. Zochniak1.5091113121WSep 18 · 05:15B. Wisniewski4.0031090J. Zochniak1.141112113WSep 18 · 04:30W. Gronowski3.2511960J. Zochniak1.301311113WSep 18 · 03:00J. Przewlocki3.5010980J. Zochniak1.251211113LSep 17 · 14:20J. Zochniak1.75111111992M. Minda1.90138911113
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