TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13156507
Played Sep 19Finished
Wojciech Gronowski
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111181113911––
Igor Dabrowski
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeIgor Dabrowski to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
8111181113911––
H2H Wojciech Gronowski 10–19 Igor Dabrowski Wojciech Gronowski has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Dabrowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-19 in 29
Dabrowski
Correct
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gronowski 1275 vs Dabrowski 1379
Dabrowski
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gronowski 40% vs Dabrowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gronowski 40% vs Dabrowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gronowski -1 · Dabrowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dabrowski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dabrowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGronowski 1.90 / Dabrowski 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dabrowski)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13156507
Gronowski1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 72 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Dabrowski1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 193 of 317
Up 2–0, closes it98% 89 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it76% 146 of 193
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGronowski3wins
AwayDabrowski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDabrowski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGronowski50%3 of 6
AwayDabrowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gronowski6Dabrowski4n = 10Gronowski took 6 of 10
S2Gronowski2Dabrowski8n = 10Dabrowski took 8 of 10
S3Gronowski5Dabrowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Gronowski3Dabrowski6n = 9Dabrowski took 6 of 9
S5Gronowski1Dabrowski2n = 3Dabrowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGronowskiDabrowskiG − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.943.3−4.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGronowskiDabrowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 1113 vs 803 / 159743.4%50.3%483 / 1113 vs 803 / 1597Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DabrowskiGronowski 1.90/Dabrowski 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Dabrowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dabrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 07:40W. Gronowski398111191I. Dabrowski4311813113
LJun 6 · 12:20W. Gronowski48131241182I. Dabrowski501114113113
LJun 5 · 09:20W. Gronowski25134531I. Dabrowski44111111113
LJun 5 · 05:50W. Gronowski175930I. Dabrowski331111113
WJun 5 · 03:20W. Gronowski4111711123I. Dabrowski388119101
LMay 31 · 07:35W. Gronowski4971113992I. Dabrowski511171111113
WMay 15 · 13:55W. Gronowski4612914113I. Dabrowski4110111281
WMay 15 · 08:35W. Gronowski53139119113I. Dabrowski46111191142
LMay 10 · 09:30W. Gronowski426161191I. Dabrowski4711187113
LApr 24 · 10:35W. Gronowski29113871I. Dabrowski4071111113
W. Gronowski10
LSep 19 · 06:25W. Gronowski1.7011210101D. Poloszczanski1.9571112123LSep 19 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.88612631D. Wrobel1.82111011113WSep 19 · 04:00M. Minda1.5551171142W. Gronowski2.30116119113WSep 19 · 03:20W. Gronowski2.15611611113B. Mleczko1.6011611852LSep 18 · 14:40W. Gronowski2.30711881M. Minda1.5211311113LSep 18 · 13:05W. Gronowski1.751116381J. Przewlocki1.98131411113LSep 18 · 11:50W. Gronowski2.75103100B. Czerwinski1.371211123WSep 18 · 10:10W. Gronowski2.40871111113B. Mleczko1.5011113772LSep 18 · 09:00W. Gronowski3.2597111252J. Zochniak1.301111910113WSep 18 · 07:40B. Wisniewski2.1066120W. Gronowski1.601111143
I. Dabrowski10
LSep 19 · 06:50M. Minda1.57111110143I. Dabrowski2.258712121LSep 19 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.20791181B. Mleczko1.6011119113WSep 19 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.54116112113D. Wrobel2.2581191132LSep 19 · 03:40D. Poloszczanski2.7512711113I. Dabrowski1.401011961WSep 13 · 07:40J. Glanowski1.775930I. Dabrowski1.951111113WSep 13 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.8371111672I. Dabrowski1.81118311113LSep 13 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.4231060D. Solilo1.451112113WSep 13 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.581112113M. Piecowski2.1591070WSep 13 · 03:40T. Piotrowski1.836740I. Dabrowski1.871111113LSep 12 · 14:40I. Dabrowski2.01115661J. Glanowski1.6651111113
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