TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Radoslaw Chrzescian
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171191012119––
Dominik Solilo
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Chrzescian to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadoslaw Chrzescian above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Radoslaw Chrzescian at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Radoslaw Chrzescian 2–0 Dominik Solilo Dominik Solilo has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chrzescian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chrzescian 1682 vs Solilo 1579
Chrzescian
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chrzescian 80% vs Solilo 60%
Chrzescian
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chrzescian 90% vs Solilo 40%
Chrzescian
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chrzescian +3 · Solilo +1
Chrzescian
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chrzescian)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chrzescian form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChrzescian 1.73 / Solilo 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chrzescian)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13159634
Chrzescian1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite77% won 67 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Solilo2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 77 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChrzescian2wins
AwaySolilo0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderChrzescian leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricChrzescianSoliloC − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match46.039.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChrzescianSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 354 vs 252 / 52252.8%48.3%187 / 354 vs 252 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChrzescianChrzescian 1.73/Solilo 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chrzescian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chrzescian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 20 · 07:20R. Chrzescian43111110113D. Solilo37791291
WMay 3 · 09:45R. Chrzescian49111197113D. Solilo4186111152
R. Chrzescian10
WSep 20 · 06:05G. Poliniewicz1.6781191182R. Chrzescian2.10118119113WSep 20 · 04:55M. Minda2.5078100R. Chrzescian1.501111123WSep 20 · 03:25R. Stapor2.50811351R. Chrzescian1.5011911113LSep 19 · 20:30B. Sulkowski3.251111311113R. Chrzescian1.3376111372WSep 19 · 19:15R. Chrzescian1.73811117113P. Blocho2.0011891192WSep 19 · 18:05P. Maruszak2.75811641R. Chrzescian1.4011811113WSep 19 · 16:55M. Woskowicz2.7531070R. Chrzescian1.401112113WSep 19 · 15:25A. Wos2.10810110R. Chrzescian1.671112133WSep 19 · 13:50B. Mleczko2.6511811782R. Chrzescian1.40611611113WSep 19 · 13:00A. Wos2.05121111772R. Chrzescian1.681031311113
D. Solilo10
LSep 20 · 08:05M. Minda1.73971115113D. Solilo2.00111161382WSep 20 · 05:15R. Stapor2.205750D. Solilo1.611111113LSep 20 · 04:30G. Poliniewicz1.671111118113D. Solilo2.1071381172WSep 20 · 03:00G. Kesik2.1095100D. Solilo1.671111123LSep 17 · 19:40M. Rutkowski1.531111123D. Solilo2.3889100WSep 17 · 18:50M. Lukaszewski3.5011108101D. Solilo1.2861211123LSep 17 · 18:05D. Solilo1.809890M. Kolek1.911111113LSep 17 · 16:30D. Solilo1.619780K. Rudomina2.201111113WSep 17 · 15:45A. Mugowski2.75101030D. Solilo1.401212113LSep 17 · 14:15D. Solilo2.40641181P. Jendrzejewski1.5011119113
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