TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154735
Played Sep 19Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171163111113117
Radoslaw Chrzescian
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:41 and never touched — 71.8% is still 71.8%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Chrzescian to win
71.8%
71.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBartosz Sulkowski above · Radoslaw Chrzescian below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Radoslaw Chrzescian at 71.8%
91 points played in total.
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 1–1 Radoslaw Chrzescian Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Chrzescian
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1477 vs Chrzescian 1667
Chrzescian
Wrong
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Chrzescian 100%
Chrzescian
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 50% vs Chrzescian 90%
Chrzescian
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +1 · Chrzescian +8
Chrzescian
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Chrzescian) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chrzescian form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 3.25 / Chrzescian 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Chrzescian)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13154735
Sulkowski3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 156 of 477
Down 0–1, comes back16% 46 of 281
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 135
Chrzescian1.33
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite76% won 58 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSulkowski1wins
AwayChrzescian1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSulkowskiChrzescianS − CBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.044.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiChrzescianBasisWin rate · lifetime567 / 1279 vs 183 / 35044.3%52.3%567 / 1279 vs 183 / 350Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChrzescianSulkowski 3.25/Chrzescian 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.9%
Chrzescian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 19 · 20:30B. Sulkowski471111311113R. Chrzescian4476111372
LMar 28 · 13:20B. Sulkowski35913581R. Chrzescian44111111113
B. Sulkowski10
LSep 19 · 21:00P. Maruszak1.8311133113B. Sulkowski1.838111181WSep 19 · 18:50B. Sulkowski1.8311117113P. Maruszak1.83981151LSep 19 · 17:40B. Sulkowski2.0011881132M. Woskowicz1.73711116113LSep 19 · 16:05B. Sulkowski3.0078111162A. Wos1.36111196113WSep 19 · 15:00B. Sulkowski2.25771211113P. Blocho1.57111110642LSep 19 · 01:10B. Sulkowski2.2071181162P. Blocho1.61118117113WSep 19 · 24:20B. Sulkowski3.75116711113K. Staszczyk1.2581111552LSep 18 · 22:50B. Sulkowski2.00781181M. Woskowicz1.7311118113WSep 18 · 22:30B. Sulkowski1.6711127113M. Lukaszewski2.105101171LSep 18 · 21:45K. Staszczyk1.22611611153B. Sulkowski4.00118116132
R. Chrzescian10
WSep 19 · 19:15R. Chrzescian1.73811117113P. Blocho2.0011891192WSep 19 · 18:05P. Maruszak2.75811641R. Chrzescian1.4011811113WSep 19 · 16:55M. Woskowicz2.7531070R. Chrzescian1.401112113WSep 19 · 15:25A. Wos2.10810110R. Chrzescian1.671112133WSep 19 · 13:50B. Mleczko2.6511811782R. Chrzescian1.40611611113WSep 19 · 13:00A. Wos2.05121111772R. Chrzescian1.681031311113WSep 19 · 12:10R. Chrzescian1.3551111123W. Gronowski2.851195101WSep 19 · 10:30R. Chrzescian1.4211115113P. Blocho2.46881181LSep 19 · 09:45M. Minda2.751111113R. Chrzescian1.409880WAug 9 · 13:50R. Malinowski2.10761191R. Chrzescian1.6011118113
Upcoming Matches
B. Sulkowski
Sep 19 · 22:35B. Sulkowski1.61A. Pilch2.20—Sep 19 · 23:20B. Sulkowski2.00M. Woskowicz1.73—Sep 20 · 15:00B. Sulkowski—L. Pietraszko——Sep 20 · 16:30B. Sulkowski—P. Blocho——Sep 20 · 17:20B. Sulkowski—A. Wos——Sep 20 · 19:15B. Sulkowski—K. Rudomina——Sep 20 · 20:05B. Sulkowski—M. Kolek——Sep 20 · 21:00B. Sulkowski—L. Pietraszko——Sep 20 · 22:55B. Sulkowski—M. Kolek——Sep 20 · 23:45B. Sulkowski—P. Blocho——
R. Chrzescian
Sep 20 · 03:25R. Chrzescian1.50R. Stapor2.50—Sep 20 · 04:55R. Chrzescian1.50M. Minda2.50—Sep 20 · 06:05R. Chrzescian2.10G. Poliniewicz1.67—Sep 20 · 07:20R. Chrzescian1.73D. Solilo2.00—Sep 20 · 08:30R. Chrzescian1.61G. Kesik2.20—Sep 20 · 09:40R. Chrzescian1.80G. Kesik1.91—Sep 20 · 10:25R. Chrzescian1.50M. Minda2.50—Sep 20 · 12:05R. Chrzescian1.50R. Stapor2.50—Sep 20 · 12:55R. Chrzescian1.67A. Wos2.10—Sep 20 · 13:45R. Chrzescian1.28M. Woskowicz3.50—
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