TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154737
Played Sep 19Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117811811116311
Mateusz Woskowicz
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:41 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeMateusz Woskowicz to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBartosz Sulkowski above · Mateusz Woskowicz below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 87 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Mateusz Woskowicz at 64.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 2–3 Mateusz Woskowicz Bartosz Sulkowski has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:41What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Woskowicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1484 vs Woskowicz 1386
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Woskowicz 20%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 50% vs Woskowicz 20%
Sulkowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -1 · Woskowicz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Woskowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Woskowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 2.00 / Woskowicz 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Woskowicz)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13154737
Sulkowski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 156 of 477
Down 0–1, comes back16% 46 of 281
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 135
Woskowicz1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 21 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it57% 12 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSulkowski2wins
AwayWoskowicz3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderWoskowicz leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWoskowicz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski2Woskowicz3n = 5Woskowicz took 3 of 5
S2Sulkowski1Woskowicz4n = 5Woskowicz took 4 of 5
S3Sulkowski4Woskowicz1n = 5Sulkowski took 4 of 5
S4Sulkowski1Woskowicz4n = 5Woskowicz took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSulkowskiWoskowiczS − WBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match38.440.4−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiWoskowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime565 / 1275 vs 125 / 23744.3%52.7%565 / 1275 vs 125 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.640.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WoskowiczSulkowski 2.00/Woskowicz 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Woskowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Woskowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 18 · 22:50B. Sulkowski34781181M. Woskowicz4111118113
WSep 18 · 19:15B. Sulkowski4311712133M. Woskowicz3971110111
LMay 16 · 13:50B. Sulkowski26551151M. Woskowicz3911116113
WFeb 7 · 13:10B. Sulkowski51911119113M. Woskowicz4211761172
LFeb 7 · 07:15B. Sulkowski381169121M. Woskowicz4151111143
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 19 · 18:50B. Sulkowski1.8311117113P. Maruszak1.83981151LSep 19 · 16:05B. Sulkowski3.0078111162A. Wos1.36111196113WSep 19 · 15:00B. Sulkowski2.25771211113P. Blocho1.57111110642LSep 19 · 01:10B. Sulkowski2.2071181162P. Blocho1.61118117113WSep 19 · 24:20B. Sulkowski3.75116711113K. Staszczyk1.2581111552LSep 18 · 22:50B. Sulkowski2.00781181M. Woskowicz1.7311118113WSep 18 · 22:30B. Sulkowski1.6711127113M. Lukaszewski2.105101171LSep 18 · 21:45K. Staszczyk1.22611611153B. Sulkowski4.00118116132WSep 18 · 20:30B. Sulkowski3.0011126113M. Kolek1.368101181WSep 18 · 19:15M. Woskowicz1.7371110111B. Sulkowski2.0011712133
M. Woskowicz10
LSep 19 · 18:30A. Wos1.5311713113M. Woskowicz2.386111181LSep 19 · 16:55M. Woskowicz2.7531070R. Chrzescian1.401112113WSep 19 · 15:45M. Woskowicz1.671181011113P. Maruszak2.1091112682LSep 19 · 01:30M. Woskowicz1.671115891M. Lukaszewski2.1061711113LSep 19 · 24:45P. Blocho1.571111113M. Woskowicz2.257550LSep 18 · 23:35M. Woskowicz4.00691181K. Staszczyk1.2211114113WSep 18 · 22:50B. Sulkowski2.00781181M. Woskowicz1.7311118113LSep 18 · 21:00A. Daniel1.2881111113M. Woskowicz3.50114491LSep 18 · 20:05K. Staszczyk1.3311116113M. Woskowicz3.25591171LSep 18 · 19:15M. Woskowicz1.7371110111B. Sulkowski2.0011712133
Upcoming Matches
B. Sulkowski
Sep 19 · 20:30B. Sulkowski3.25R. Chrzescian1.33—Sep 19 · 21:00B. Sulkowski1.83P. Maruszak1.83—Sep 19 · 22:10B. Sulkowski1.83A. Mugowski1.83—Sep 19 · 22:35B. Sulkowski1.61A. Pilch2.20—Sep 19 · 23:20B. Sulkowski2.00M. Woskowicz1.73—Sep 20 · 15:00B. Sulkowski—L. Pietraszko——Sep 20 · 16:30B. Sulkowski—P. Blocho——Sep 20 · 17:20B. Sulkowski—A. Wos——Sep 20 · 19:15B. Sulkowski—K. Rudomina——Sep 20 · 20:05B. Sulkowski—M. Kolek——
M. Woskowicz
Sep 19 · 20:05M. Woskowicz2.75P. Blocho1.40—Sep 19 · 21:25M. Woskowicz1.83A. Mugowski1.83—Sep 19 · 21:50M. Woskowicz1.67A. Pilch2.10—Sep 19 · 23:20M. Woskowicz1.73B. Sulkowski2.00—Sep 20 · 24:10M. Woskowicz1.83P. Maruszak1.83—Sep 20 · 09:20M. Woskowicz2.20R. Stapor1.61—Sep 20 · 10:00M. Woskowicz—A. Wos——Sep 20 · 11:15M. Woskowicz1.91M. Minda1.80—Sep 20 · 12:30M. Woskowicz2.10G. Kesik1.67—Sep 20 · 13:45M. Woskowicz2.63R. Chrzescian1.44—
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