TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147148
Played Sep 19Finished
Mateusz Woskowicz
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1161517811911––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMateusz Woskowicz above · Mikolaj Lukaszewski below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 88 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Mikolaj Lukaszewski at 54.4%
88 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Woskowicz 1–1 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:08What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Woskowicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Woskowicz 1385 vs Lukaszewski 1385
Lukaszewski
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Woskowicz 20% vs Lukaszewski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Woskowicz 20% vs Lukaszewski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Woskowicz -2 · Lukaszewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Woskowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWoskowicz 1.67 / Lukaszewski 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Woskowicz)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13147148
Woskowicz1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 20 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it61% 11 of 18
Lukaszewski2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 255 of 625
Down 0–1, comes back14% 47 of 342
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 186
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWoskowicz1wins
AwayLukaszewski1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWoskowiczLukaszewskiW − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match45.544.0+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWoskowiczLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 235 vs 904 / 199752.8%45.3%124 / 235 vs 904 / 1997Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WoskowiczWoskowicz 1.67/Lukaszewski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Woskowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 19 · 01:30M. Woskowicz431115891M. Lukaszewski4561711113
WMar 7 · 10:20M. Woskowicz48591211113M. Lukaszewski43111110562
M. Woskowicz10
LSep 19 · 24:45P. Blocho1.571111113M. Woskowicz2.257550LSep 18 · 23:35M. Woskowicz4.00691181K. Staszczyk1.2211114113WSep 18 · 22:50B. Sulkowski2.00781181M. Woskowicz1.7311118113LSep 18 · 21:00A. Daniel1.2881111113M. Woskowicz3.50114491LSep 18 · 20:05K. Staszczyk1.3311116113M. Woskowicz3.25591171LSep 18 · 19:15M. Woskowicz1.7371110111B. Sulkowski2.0011712133LSep 18 · 17:40M. Woskowicz3.2557110M. Kolek1.331111133LSep 18 · 16:55P. Maruszak2.105111110113M. Woskowicz1.6711891262WAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113LAug 2 · 13:00M. Zagajewski1.734111111113M. Woskowicz2.0011913852
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 18 · 23:55P. Blocho1.40111171162M. Lukaszewski2.75137116113LSep 18 · 23:15K. Staszczyk1.2011118113M. Lukaszewski4.33461161LSep 18 · 22:30B. Sulkowski1.6711127113M. Lukaszewski2.105101171LSep 17 · 23:20M. Kolek1.281310711113M. Lukaszewski3.50111211462LSep 17 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.22671111113M. Lukaszewski4.0011118352WSep 17 · 22:10M. Lukaszewski1.80115911113A. Mugowski1.9181111672LSep 17 · 21:00K. Rudomina1.531111143M. Lukaszewski2.3864120LSep 17 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski4.0011941172M. Kolek1.22911119113LSep 17 · 18:50M. Lukaszewski3.5011108101D. Solilo1.2861211123LSep 17 · 17:40M. Lukaszewski2.00121190A. Mugowski1.731413113
Upcoming Matches
M. Woskowicz
Sep 19 · 15:45M. Woskowicz—P. Maruszak——Sep 19 · 16:55M. Woskowicz—R. Chrzescian——Sep 19 · 17:40M. Woskowicz—B. Sulkowski——Sep 19 · 18:30M. Woskowicz—A. Wos——Sep 19 · 20:05M. Woskowicz—P. Blocho——Sep 19 · 21:25M. Woskowicz—A. Mugowski——Sep 19 · 21:50M. Woskowicz—A. Pilch——Sep 19 · 23:20M. Woskowicz—B. Sulkowski——Sep 20 · 24:10M. Woskowicz—P. Maruszak——
M. Lukaszewski
Nothing scheduled
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