TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147149
Played Sep 18Finished
Przemyslaw Blocho
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113117711116611
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePrzemyslaw Blocho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPrzemyslaw Blocho above · Mikolaj Lukaszewski below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Przemyslaw Blocho at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Przemyslaw Blocho 19–15 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Blocho
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Blocho
Wrong
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blocho 1593 vs Lukaszewski 1351
Blocho
Wrong
both rated, 242 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blocho 80% vs Lukaszewski 20%
Blocho
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blocho 70% vs Lukaszewski 10%
Blocho
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blocho +4 · Lukaszewski -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Blocho) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlocho 1.40 / Lukaszewski 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Blocho)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13147149
Blocho1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 168 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it97% 85 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it85% 132 of 155
Lukaszewski2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 255 of 625
Down 0–1, comes back14% 47 of 342
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 186
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlocho7wins
AwayLukaszewski3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBlocho leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlocho100%6 of 6
AwayLukaszewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blocho6Lukaszewski4n = 10Blocho took 6 of 10
S2Blocho5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Blocho5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Blocho6Lukaszewski3n = 9Blocho took 6 of 9
S5Blocho4Lukaszewski2n = 6Blocho took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlochoLukaszewskiB − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.638.0+5.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlochoLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime573 / 1029 vs 905 / 199855.7%45.3%573 / 1029 vs 905 / 1998Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlochoBlocho 1.40/Lukaszewski 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Blocho · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 23:55P. Blocho46111171162M. Lukaszewski48137116113
WSep 1 · 03:00P. Blocho4011711113M. Lukaszewski27811351
WAug 31 · 07:20P. Blocho3911116113M. Lukaszewski33861181
WJun 9 · 20:05P. Blocho451111102113M. Lukaszewski4579121162
LMay 19 · 11:45P. Blocho35871281M. Lukaszewski43111110113
WMay 18 · 17:30P. Blocho529111011113M. Lukaszewski3711312472
WMay 11 · 20:40P. Blocho51119119113M. Lukaszewski4571191172
LMay 4 · 06:40P. Blocho4598111162M. Lukaszewski42111136113
WMay 4 · 04:10P. Blocho50118911113M. Lukaszewski3521111652
WApr 27 · 19:50P. Blocho331111113M. Lukaszewski258980
P. Blocho10
WSep 19 · 24:45P. Blocho1.571111113M. Woskowicz2.257550WSep 18 · 22:05P. Blocho2.25811812113K. Staszczyk1.57117111002WSep 10 · 13:55A. Linek2.07127861P. Blocho1.62101111113WSep 10 · 13:05M. Misiak2.13571111P. Blocho1.5811117113WSep 10 · 12:15P. Blocho2.01119115143B. Czerwinski1.66511411122LSep 10 · 10:35P. Blocho2.061177101D. Solilo1.6371111123WSep 10 · 09:50B. Sulkowski2.257111171P. Blocho1.5411136113LSep 10 · 08:30D. Kosmal1.3411513113P. Blocho2.809111161LSep 10 · 07:15P. Blocho1.6371151182R. Stapor2.06115115113WSep 10 · 06:15A. Linek2.073790P. Blocho1.621111113
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 18 · 23:15K. Staszczyk1.2011118113M. Lukaszewski4.33461161LSep 18 · 22:30B. Sulkowski1.6711127113M. Lukaszewski2.105101171LSep 17 · 23:20M. Kolek1.281310711113M. Lukaszewski3.50111211462LSep 17 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.22671111113M. Lukaszewski4.0011118352WSep 17 · 22:10M. Lukaszewski1.80115911113A. Mugowski1.9181111672LSep 17 · 21:00K. Rudomina1.531111143M. Lukaszewski2.3864120LSep 17 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski4.0011941172M. Kolek1.22911119113LSep 17 · 18:50M. Lukaszewski3.5011108101D. Solilo1.2861211123LSep 17 · 17:40M. Lukaszewski2.00121190A. Mugowski1.731413113LSep 17 · 16:05M. Lukaszewski4.0017101271M. Rutkowski1.22191210113
Upcoming Matches
P. Blocho
Sep 19 · 01:10P. Blocho1.61B. Sulkowski2.20—Sep 19 · 09:00P. Blocho2.19A. Wos1.49—Sep 19 · 10:30P. Blocho—R. Chrzescian——Sep 19 · 11:20P. Blocho—B. Mleczko——Sep 19 · 13:25P. Blocho—W. Gronowski——Sep 19 · 14:15P. Blocho—M. Minda——Sep 19 · 15:00P. Blocho—B. Sulkowski——Sep 19 · 16:30P. Blocho—P. Maruszak——Sep 19 · 17:20P. Blocho—A. Wos——Sep 19 · 19:15P. Blocho—R. Chrzescian——
M. Lukaszewski
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