TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12350701
Played Aug 2Finished
Mateusz Zagajewski
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111191113118115
Mateusz Woskowicz
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:23 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeMateusz Woskowicz to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
4111191113118115
H2H Mateusz Zagajewski 1–1 Mateusz Woskowicz Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zagajewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zagajewski 1343 vs Woskowicz 1434
Woskowicz
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zagajewski 40% vs Woskowicz 60%
Woskowicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zagajewski 40% vs Woskowicz 70%
Woskowicz
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zagajewski +1 · Woskowicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Woskowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zagajewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZagajewski 1.73 / Woskowicz 2.00
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Woskowicz)+11.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12350701
Zagajewski1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 56 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 44 of 51
Woskowicz2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog55% won 18 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back35% 7 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZagajewski1wins
AwayWoskowicz1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZagajewskiWoskowiczZ − WBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.532.5+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZagajewskiWoskowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 788 vs 122 / 22450.4%54.5%397 / 788 vs 122 / 224Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.640.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WoskowiczZagajewski 1.73/Woskowicz 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Woskowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zagajewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 2 · 04:50M. Zagajewski—7116101M. Woskowicz—11611123
WMay 15 · 16:15M. Zagajewski—1111133M. Woskowicz—68110
M. Zagajewski10
LSep 11 · 14:40B. Sulkowski1.8011114113M. Zagajewski1.86681171WSep 11 · 13:30M. Zagajewski1.9511711113B. Czerwinski1.75811681LSep 11 · 12:15B. Mleczko1.6912111111143M. Zagajewski1.96147713122WSep 11 · 11:00M. Misiak1.801166101M. Zagajewski1.8691111123WSep 11 · 09:25R. Stapor1.7613129892M. Zagajewski1.9011101111113WSep 11 · 08:10M. Zagajewski1.528111011113B. Wisniewski2.3711812992WSep 11 · 06:30M. Trela1.857101181M. Zagajewski1.8011128113LSep 11 · 05:40M. Misiak1.80121211113M. Zagajewski1.861014771LSep 11 · 04:55M. Zagajewski1.95119871R. Stapor1.7061111113LSep 11 · 03:50M. Zagajewski2.107118111J. Glanowski1.6011311133
M. Woskowicz10
WAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113WAug 2 · 12:10M. Woskowicz1.5011119113T. Piotrowski2.35671171LAug 2 · 10:30M. Woskowicz1.42111181072A. Mugowski2.70991112113WAug 2 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.75611101192M. Woskowicz1.95116128113LAug 2 · 08:30P. Maruszak1.80111185113M. Woskowicz1.9065111182WAug 2 · 07:15M. Woskowicz1.85117112113D. Solilo1.8091191172WAug 2 · 06:00A. Mugowski1.8511681182M. Woskowicz1.85711113113WAug 2 · 04:50M. Zagajewski1.857116101M. Woskowicz1.8511611123WAug 2 · 03:20T. Piotrowski1.928670M. Woskowicz1.731111113LAug 1 · 14:15M. Woskowicz1.57111213982T. Piotrowski2.258141111113
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