TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12350283
Played Aug 2Finished
Mateusz Woskowicz
Home
1.42
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191198111012711
Arkadiusz Mugowski
Away
2.70
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:53 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeMateusz Woskowicz to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
1191198111012711
H2H Mateusz Woskowicz 3–2 Arkadiusz Mugowski Arkadiusz Mugowski has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (66%)
Woskowicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Woskowicz 1430 vs Mugowski 1335
Woskowicz
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Woskowicz 80% vs Mugowski 20%
Woskowicz
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Woskowicz 70% vs Mugowski 40%
Woskowicz
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Woskowicz +1 · Mugowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Woskowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mugowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWoskowicz 1.42 / Mugowski 2.70
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Woskowicz)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12350283
Woskowicz1.42
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 30 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it67% 20 of 30
Mugowski2.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 252 of 617
Down 0–1, comes back24% 91 of 377
Down 0–2, comes back10% 20 of 208
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeWoskowicz3wins
AwayMugowski2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderWoskowicz leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWoskowiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMugowski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Woskowicz2Mugowski3n = 5Mugowski took 3 of 5
S2Woskowicz3Mugowski2n = 5Woskowicz took 3 of 5
S3Woskowicz3Mugowski2n = 5Woskowicz took 3 of 5
S4Woskowicz2Mugowski3n = 5Mugowski took 3 of 5
S5Woskowicz2Mugowski1n = 3Woskowicz took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricWoskowiczMugowskiW − MBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match42.241.6+0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWoskowiczMugowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 222 vs 1009 / 218854.5%46.1%121 / 222 vs 1009 / 2188Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WoskowiczWoskowicz 1.42/Mugowski 2.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Woskowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mugowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 2 · 06:00M. Woskowicz—711113113A. Mugowski—11681182
WMay 17 · 09:05M. Woskowicz—911117123A. Mugowski—118611102
LOct 26 · 02:05M. Woskowicz—118991A. Mugowski—91111113
WOct 25 · 22:40M. Woskowicz—11811113A. Mugowski—711671
LSep 28 · 11:25M. Woskowicz—61151172A. Mugowski—113119113
M. Woskowicz10
WAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113LAug 2 · 13:00M. Zagajewski1.734111111113M. Woskowicz2.0011913852WAug 2 · 12:10M. Woskowicz1.5011119113T. Piotrowski2.35671171WAug 2 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.75611101192M. Woskowicz1.95116128113LAug 2 · 08:30P. Maruszak1.80111185113M. Woskowicz1.9065111182WAug 2 · 07:15M. Woskowicz1.85117112113D. Solilo1.8091191172WAug 2 · 06:00A. Mugowski1.8511681182M. Woskowicz1.85711113113WAug 2 · 04:50M. Zagajewski1.857116101M. Woskowicz1.8511611123WAug 2 · 03:20T. Piotrowski1.928670M. Woskowicz1.731111113LAug 1 · 14:15M. Woskowicz1.57111213982T. Piotrowski2.258141111113
A. Mugowski10
WSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120LSep 5 · 12:35A. Mugowski1.73111181242K. Klocek2.00991114113LSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100WSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842LSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 06:25A. Lilien1.451111123A. Mugowski2.5075100LSep 4 · 05:35J. Zochniak1.5241312133A. Mugowski2.30111110111LSep 4 · 04:50A. Mugowski5.20581471G. Poliniewicz1.12111112113LAug 2 · 06:00A. Mugowski1.8511681182M. Woskowicz1.85711113113
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